The upcoming Serie A match between Venezia and Lecce, set for November 25, 2024, at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, is gearing up to be a tense contest. Both teams are battling for stability in Italy’s top-flight league. After their promotion from Serie B, Venezia has found the going tough, now sitting at the bottom of the Serie A standings. In contrast, Lecce, who ended 14th last season, isn’t much better, positioned at 18th. Their recent league results are quite similar, each team recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games.
Venezia has been sharp in attack, consistently scoring but facing defensive challenges, conceding nine goals in their last five matches. On the other hand, Lecce struggles offensively, scoring just four times in 11 games, making them one of the league’s lowest scorers. With a cool, overcast night on the cards, conditions might favor teams that rely on stamina and tactical discipline, setting up a strategic face-off.
Venezia vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips
In this critical match, Venezia is slightly favored to win. Their stronger home performances, combined with Lecce’s offensive struggles, make them the more likely victors. The cool weather could also play a role, favoring Venezia as they look to use their home advantage effectively.
Betting Tip
| Venezia vs Lecce Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Both Teams to Score: No |
| Odds Range | 2.01 – 2.01 |
With Venezia’s stronger showings at home and Lecce’s weak attack, the recommended bet is that both teams will not score, suggesting a low-scoring match.
Venezia vs Lecce Odds
Venezia enters the match as slight favorites, thanks to their marginal performance edge and home advantage. Given Lecce’s ongoing challenges in scoring, the odds reflect scenarios where not both teams score.
| Venezia vs Lecce Odds | |
|---|---|
| Venezia Win | 2.01 |
| Draw | – |
| Lecce Win | – |
Venezia is expected to use their home field advantage to aim for a crucial win, even though the tight odds point to a competitive game.
Venezia Team Analysis
Venezia Recent Performance
Venezia’s performances have been a mix, showing both competitiveness and inconsistency. A recent victory against Cagliari highlighted their attacking potential. However, their defense has been a concern, shown by a narrow loss to Parma and a tight match against Inter Milan. Such results leave them in the relegation zone, emphasizing the need for points in this match.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia | Parma | 1-2 |
| Venezia | Cagliari | 3-1 |
| Parma | Venezia | 2-1 |
| Inter | Venezia | 1-2 |
| Verona | Venezia | 2-0 |
Although facing challenges, investments in young talents like Gaetano Oristanio aim to boost their form, despite their historical swings between league tiers influencing their tactics and strategies.
Venezia Key Players
Key players for Venezia include Joel Pohjanpalo, Alfred Duncan, and Gianluca Busio. Pohjanpalo, the top scorer with four goals, is essential in attack. Duncan adds experience and stability in midfield, while Busio’s creativity is vital against Lecce’s defenses.
Defensive players like Antonio Candela and Ridgeciano Haps will be crucial in transitions, while Filip Stankovic’s defensive strength is important to prevent goals. Young talents like Oristanio offer flair and playmaking skills, needed to challenge Lecce’s defense.
Venezia Suspensions & Injuries
Venezia has a mostly full squad but misses Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason due to injury. Tactical changes might limit Oristanio’s play, requiring rotations to keep players fresh against Lecce.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason | Muscle Injury | Indefinite |
| Gaetano Oristanio | Knock | Late November 2024 |
Managing players is crucial to avoid further injuries, as pressure mounts and recovering key players like Bjarkason will boost squad depth.
Venezia Tactics and Formation
Venezia is expected to use a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on quick attacking transitions and exploiting Lecce’s defensive weaknesses. Duncan and Busio will likely drive creativity in midfield, providing key passes. Defensively, they will aim to neutralize Lecce’s sporadic attacks, ensuring quick ball recoveries.
Pohjanpalo will play a key role as a target man, using his speed to navigate Lecce’s defense, while wide wingers will be essential in stretching the play and creating scoring opportunities. This fast-paced approach is central to Venezia’s strategy.
Lecce Team Analysis
Lecce Recent Performance
Lecce is struggling, managing one win against Salernitana and failing to capitalize offensively, with only two goals in their last five games. A recent managerial change could mean new tactics, though their impact is yet to be seen. They rely on a strong defense, posing risks against Venezia’s attacking threat.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Lecce | Salernitana | 1-0 |
| Lecce | Juventus | 0-1 |
| Torino | Lecce | 0-0 |
| Roma | Lecce | 1-1 |
| Bologna | Lecce | 0-0 |
These results show solid defense but highlight struggles in converting chances, critical as they face possible relegation.
Lecce Key Players
Lecce’s key players include Nikola Krstovic, Patrick Dorgu, and Hamza Rafia. Krstovic, with two goals, leads their attack. Dorgu’s speed aids offense, while Rafia is crucial for his creative midfield presence.
Defensive stalwart Federico Baschirotto and goalkeeper Wladimiro Falcone are key to maintaining clean sheets. Lecce’s youthful components bring unpredictability and energy, useful in dynamic scenarios.
Lecce Suspensions & Injuries
Lecce faces this crucial matchup with notable absences, including Jeppe Corfitzen, Balthazar Pierret, and Medon Berisha due to injuries. Concerns also hover over Luis Hasa and Filip Marchwinski, requiring tactical adjustments to manage these losses.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Jeppe Corfitzen | Ankle Injury | Mid December 2024 |
| Balthazar Pierret | Knee Ligament | Early 2025 |
| Medon Berisha | Muscle Tear | Late December 2024 |
| Luis Hasa | Strain | Late November 2024 |
| Filip Marchwinski | Fingers | Early December 2024 |
Ensuring squad depth and fitness recovery is important to stabilize their lineup amidst competitive league challenges.
Lecce Tactics and Formation
Using a 4-4-2 formation, Lecce’s strategies focus on defensive solidity and counterattacks. Recent managerial changes might inspire fresh strategies.
Attacks will likely rely on Dorgu and Krstovic for speed, while Rafia will guide midfield creativity and play direction. Baschirotto’s role in defense is vital in countering Venezia’s forwards, marking a risk-averse approach amidst relegation pressure.
Learn more about Lecce’s journey
Venezia vs Lecce Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Venezia and Lecce meetings have been close. Venezia triumphed twice in their past five matchups, while Lecce won a thrilling 3-2 game. These encounters averaged 1.8 goals per game, suggesting moderate scores.
| Matches | Venezia Wins | Lecce Wins | Draws | Average Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 |
Their last clash ended in a 1-1 draw, showcasing both teams’ similar standings in the lower league tiers, reinforcing their balanced competition.
Venue and Weather
The match will take place at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, with a capacity of 12,048 fans, offering an intimate setting highlighting the relegation stakes. Weather forecasts expect a cool 5.9°C with overcast skies, favorable for constant exertion.
Minimal wind at 1.94 m/s favors tactical precision and technical skill over physical matchups. These conditions support compact passes and swift play, emphasizing strategic flexibility to boost performance.
Venezia could benefit from home familiarity and fan support, crucial in key matches like this. Both teams’ adaptable strategies will be essential to maximize play within expected weather conditions. Weather impact is expected to be minor, focusing on technical play.
This detailed setup sets the scene for an intense match between Venezia and Lecce, with high stakes and potential impacts on both teams’ Serie A campaigns.
For more insights, visit Serie A overview, Lecce’s profile, and Venezia’s profile.
