This Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, set for Round 35 of the 2024/2025 season, promises to be a nail-biter. The action kicks off at the renowned Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Roma, currently in sixth place with 60 points, is in hot pursuit of European qualification. Managed by Claudio Ranieri, they face stiff competition from Fiorentina, who are close behind in eighth place with 59 points. Raffaele Palladino’s Fiorentina is keen to overtake their hosts in this thrilling Italian showdown.
Both teams will be focused on shoring up their defenses. For Roma, Artem Dovbyk’s attacking prowess is vital. He has scored 11 times this season. Meanwhile, Fiorentina is facing an offensive dilemma due to Moise Kean’s untimely injury. Kean has been the league’s second-highest scorer with 17 goals but will miss this pivotal game. Roma enters this match unbeaten in their last five Serie A games, boasting three wins and two draws. Their defense has been commendable, with three clean sheets in these outings. Fiorentina, likewise, hasn’t lost in Serie A or the Conference League recently, although they have managed only one clean sheet in five matches.
Historically, Fiorentina edges Roma with wins in two of their last three meetings. However, Roma’s strong defensive form could lead to an exciting face-off. Light rain and moderate winds are expected around kickoff, adding an unpredictable element to the match.
Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tip
Considering the recent defensive performances and a trend of low-scoring clashes between these teams, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems wise. Roma has notched up three clean sheets in their past five Serie A matches, highlighting their organized defense. Fiorentina’s away form also supports a low-scoring prediction. Recent matches between these two teams often end with fewer than three goals, so anticipate a tight game with limited scoring chances.
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.82 – 1.87 |
Roma vs Fiorentina Odds
Current odds hint at a cautious approach, predicting a close match. The recommendation is to bet on under 2.5 goals, given odds ranging from 1.82 to 1.87. Roma’s home matches usually feature few goals, with three out of their last five games ending under 2.5 goals. Fiorentina shares this pattern in away games. Past match stats between these clubs back this up, showing four out of five recent encounters with less than three goals.
Roma Team Analysis
Roma Recent Performance
Roma has been impressive lately, going unbeaten in their last five Serie A games with three wins and two draws. They’ve scored five goals and conceded just two in these matches, showing a solid defense with three clean sheets. Recent wins over teams like Inter and Verona, both by 1-0 scores, underline their strong defense. Draws with Lazio and Juventus show Roma’s resilience against top teams. At home, they’ve picked up 13 points in five games, with Claudio Ranieri’s tactical know-how boosting their defensive strength.
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | Inter 0 – 1 Roma | Serie A |
| 2025-04-19 | Roma 1 – 0 Verona | Serie A |
| 2025-04-13 | Lazio 1 – 1 Roma | Serie A |
| 2025-04-06 | Roma 1 – 1 Juventus | Serie A |
| 2025-03-29 | Lecce 0 – 1 Roma | Serie A |
Roma Key Players
Roma’s attacking force is spearheaded by Artem Dovbyk, who has scored 11 important goals. Goalkeeper Mile Svilar has been a standout, with 17 clean sheets showing Roma’s defensive superiority. Lorenzo Pellegrini controls the midfield, providing set-piece danger and quick transitions. Bryan Cristante adds a defensive edge in midfield, supported by the youthful Kouadio Koné. Angelino exploits the left flank, offering attacking width and crossing. At the heart of the defense, Gianluca Mancini and Evan N’Dicka form a formidable partnership, excelling in aerial duels. Claudio Ranieri’s experienced oversight blends these talents into a strategic unit eyeing European qualification.
Roma Suspensions & Injuries
Roma faces a few selection headaches due to injuries and fitness issues. Paulo Dybala is out for the season due to a hamstring problem, limiting creative options in attack. Ranieri might need to tweak his tactics since Victor Nelsson is doubtful with an ankle injury. The wing-back positions are also thin due to Saud Abdulhamid’s unspecified setback. Despite these concerns, Roma’s core defense remains steady, ready to handle pressures in this crucial stage of the season.
| Player | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Saud Abdulhamid | Not specified | Injury |
| Paulo Dybala | Hamstring injury | Out for season |
| Victor Nelsson | Ankle injury | Doubtful |
Roma Tactics and Formation
Claudio Ranieri is expected to stick with a familiar 3-5-2 formation, emphasizing both defensive solidity and quick counter-attacks. Celik, alongside Mancini and N’Dicka, will anchor the defense, ensuring full coverage at the back. The wing-backs Angelino and Celik or Abdulhamid will look to stretch the field and balance defense and attack. In midfield, a trio of Pellegrini as the creative force, Cristante, and Koné as stabilizers will control the tempo. Upfront, strikers Dovbyk and Shomurodov aim to capitalize on counter-attacks and set pieces.
Fiorentina Team Analysis
Fiorentina Recent Performance
Fiorentina enters the match in good form, unbeaten in their last five matches in Serie A and European competitions. They’ve scored eight goals while conceding five, showing a good attack but occasional defensive lapses, with only one clean sheet. Recent 2-1 victories over Empoli and Cagliari highlight their competitive edge. Competitive draws in the Conference League show depth amid squad challenges. However, European commitments may strain their fitness and roster options.
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | Fiorentina 2 – 1 Empoli | Serie A |
| 2025-04-23 | Cagliari 1 – 2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2025-04-17 | Fiorentina 2 – 2 NK Celje | Conference League Final Stage |
| 2025-04-13 | Fiorentina 0 – 0 Parma | Serie A |
| 2025-04-10 | NK Celje 1 – 2 Fiorentina | Conference League Final Stage |
Fiorentina Key Players
In Moise Kean’s absence, Fiorentina depends on key players to step up. Veteran goalkeeper David De Gea brings crucial big-match experience. Robin Gosens uses his strength on the left flank to drive forward plays. Central midfielder Rolando Mandragora is essential for disrupting plays and distributing the ball. Playmaker Yacine Adli ensures seamless transitions, while forwards Lucas Beltrán and Albert Guðmundsson combine speed with sharp finishing. Under Palladino’s adaptable tactics, Fiorentina aims to adjust to game demands.
Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries
Fiorentina is managing significant squad absentees due to injuries. Moise Kean’s absence is a major blow. Additionally, concerns continue over Edoardo Bove’s heart issue affecting squad options. Andrea Colpani’s return remains uncertain, straining midfield depth. In defense, Dodo’s recovery from appendicitis sidelines him until mid-May, reducing full-back choices. Luca Ranieri’s suspension complicates selection further, urging Palladino to adopt cautious tactics to offset these challenges.
| Player | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Moise Kean | Not specified | Injury |
| Edoardo Bove | Heart problems | Unknown |
| Andrea Colpani | Foot injury | Doubtful |
| Dodo | Appendicitis | Expected mid-May |
| Luca Ranieri | Yellow card suspension | 1 match ban |
Fiorentina Tactics and Formation
Raffaele Palladino’s tactics are versatile, toggling between a 3-5-2 and a 4-3-3 arrangement. Defensively, Pongracic and Mari are vital in the center, compensating for absences like Ranieri’s. Play will likely utilize wide wings with Gosens and Adli progressing the ball. The midfield, spearheaded by Danilo Cataldi’s energy, supported by Mandragora’s placements and Folorunsho’s flexibility, keeps the team balanced. Upfront, quick counters aim to pierce Roma’s defense, while ensuring protection at the back for unexpected responses.
Roma vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head Statistics
Fiorentina has the upper hand in recent history, winning two of the last five encounters, with Roma winning one and two draws. A memorable exception was Fiorentina’s dominant 5-1 victory in late 2024. This high score isn’t common, though, as four out of the last five meetings saw less than three goals, showing their preference for strategic and cautious play. Roma’s standout win in January 2023, a 2-0 result, adds confidence playing at the Stadio Olimpico.
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-27 | Fiorentina 5 – 1 Roma | Serie A |
| 2024-03-10 | Fiorentina 2 – 2 Roma | Serie A |
| 2023-12-10 | Roma 1 – 1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 2023-05-27 | Fiorentina 2 – 1 Roma | Serie A |
| 2023-01-15 | Roma 2 – 0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Venue and Weather
Playing at the Stadio Olimpico, the match gathers excitement in an arena that accommodates 70,634 fans. This iconic venue is often favorable to Roma, with tight and intense matches being a trademark. The forecast predicts light rain with temperatures around 23.34°C, ideal for fast-paced football. A wet pitch may aid swift ball movement and dynamic wing play. A gentle breeze of 5.58 m/s will have little effect on aerial play, ideal for teams relying on disciplined passing and defense. In these conditions, Roma, supported by their fans, might have the edge strategically, as they thrive in intense and quick exchanges.
This encounter between Roma and Fiorentina brings together strategy, history, and ambition, making for a fascinating Serie A showdown. Both teams will display their tactical expertise, showcasing passion and Italian flair, making this matchup highly anticipated for football fans.
