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Inter vs AC Milan Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2024-09-22 20:45

Manchester, United Kingdom. 18 September 2024. Simone Inzaghi, head coach of FC Internazionale, gestures at the end of the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 league phase football match between Manchester City FC and FC Internazionale. Credit: Nicolò Campo/Alamy Live News
© Alamy /

The Derby della Madonnina is one of the biggest fixtures in football, featuring Inter Milan taking on AC Milan. Scheduled for September 22, 2024, at 20:45, this match at the iconic Giuseppe Meazza Stadium is set to light up the Serie A calendar. This derby doesn’t only carry historical weight; it’s also crucial for current league standings as both teams strive to outdo each other.

Inter Milan, sitting comfortably in 3rd place in Serie A with 8 points, have shown strong form with two wins and three draws in their last five games. On the other hand, AC Milan is in 10th place with 5 points and has been less convincing, especially in defense with an average of 1.80 goals conceded per game. Inter, the defending Serie A champions, have historically had the upper hand, winning their last six derbies against AC Milan. With the weather set to be great for football, this match promises to be a tactical showdown.

Inter vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tip

Inter vs AC Milan Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Inter to win 1.64

Prediction: Inter to win
Suggested Bet: Inter to win

Confidence in Inter’s victory stems from their steady form and defensive strength. AC Milan’s shaky defense and poor season start further back this call. A bet on Inter to win looks promising.

Inter vs AC Milan Odds

Inter vs AC Milan Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Inter to Win 1.64
Draw 3.50
AC Milan to Win 5.00

The odds for Inter reflect their role as favorites, supported by a solid record against AC Milan. The higher odds for an AC Milan win highlight their recent troubles, while a tie seems unlikely given Inter’s stride and derby mood.

Inter Team Analysis

Inter Recent Performance

Inter is showcasing a powerful game in Serie A. Placing just near the top of the table, they’ve thrashed Atalanta 4-0 and secured a tidy 2-0 win over Lecce. They’ve managed to hold Monza and Genoa to draws, showing solid stability even when not in full attack mode.

Match Result
Inter vs Atalanta 4-0 Win
Lecce vs Inter 2-0 Win
Inter vs Monza 1-1 Draw
Genoa vs Inter 0-0 Draw

Inter also impressed in Europe, drawing 0-0 with Manchester City, underscoring their trusty defense. Averaging 1.80 goals per game, they have a threatening attack to watch out for.

Inter Key Players

Inter’s squad is loaded with talent. Marcus Thuram shines with four goals this season, adding a lethal edge to their front line. Lautaro Martinez, raring to go after a rest, will be key in this derby. Nicolo Barella’s ball control in the midfield sets the tone for their gameplay.

Sommer has been reliable between the sticks, offering solid reassurance as the last line of defense. New arrival Piotr Zieliński has strengthened the midfield further, while Hakan Calhanoglu and Milan Skriniar’s presence ensures steadiness and expertise.

Inter Suspensions & Injuries

Inter is dealing with a few injury setbacks, with Tajon Buchanan and Federico Dimarco out.

Player Status
Tajon Buchanan Injured
Federico Dimarco Injured

Buchanan’s injury may force some rearrangements in tactics, impacting substitution choices. Dimarco’s absence might hinder left-flank moves, encouraging Simone Inzaghi to strategize or employ other talents.

Inter Tactics and Formation

Inzaghi’s tactical nous is reflected in his likely choice of a 3-5-2 setup. This plan ensures both defensive toughness and quick counter-attacks. Wing-backs are crucial, contributing defensively while also breaking forward to stretch opponents.

In the midfield, the partnership of Calhanoglu and Barella will aim to control the pace, bridging the defensive effort to the forward movement. Thuram and Martinez will spearhead the attack, eyeing weaknesses in Milan’s defense to exploit any gaps with fast-paced play.

AC Milan Team Analysis

AC Milan Recent Performance

AC Milan recently dominated Venezia with a 4-0 victory, showing their attacking capabilities. Despite holding Lazio and Torino to draws, their 1-3 loss to Parma and a 1-3 defeat to Liverpool in the Champions have highlighted defensive issues that remain their Achilles’ heel.

Match Result
AC Milan vs Lazio 1-1 Draw
AC Milan vs Torino 2-2 Draw
Parma vs AC Milan 1-3 Loss
Venezia vs AC Milan 4-0 Win

Their inability to close matches has kept them mid-table, struggling to break into the Serie A upper ranks without plugging these gaps.

AC Milan Key Players

With a knack for goals, Christian Pulisic is a vital asset for AC Milan, brightening their offensive side. Rafael Leao, with his speed, is an ongoing menace to any defense. His contributions are crucial for Milan’s forward drive.

Ismael Bennacer’s absence disrupts their midfield consistency, although Sandro Tonali remains critical, sustaining their midfield operation. There are defensive challenges as Kalulu and Alison need form boosts. Meanwhile, Mike Maignan continues to be relentless as their saving grace with key saves.

AC Milan Suspensions & Injuries

AC Milan is battling several injuries that may hinder performance:

Player Status
Marco Sportiello Injured
Alessandro Florenzi Injured
Malick Thiaw Injured
Ismael Bennacer Injured

Missing Sportiello, Florenzi, and Thiaw could degrade defensive reliability, urging Milan to dig into squad depth for solutions, tackling these vulnerabilities strategically to stay competitive.

AC Milan Tactics and Formation

Paulo Fonseca’s game plan involves a 4-2-3-1 formation, aiming to boost defensive solidity. This setup permits flexibility in engaging wing plays. Leao plays a significant role in stretching defenses down the flanks.

In midfield, the dynamic duo of Tonali and Krunic serves as pivotal facilitators, ensuring both transitions and steadiness. Milan will likely employ a high press to disrupt Inter’s rhythm, hoping to capitalize on counter-attacks while shoring up their backline.

Inter vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Statistics

Historically, Inter has dominated this rivalry, claiming victory in the last six encounters, showcasing clear advantage when it comes to recent derbies.

Match Result
Inter vs AC Milan 2-0 Win
AC Milan vs Inter 0-3 Win
Inter vs AC Milan 2-1 Win
AC Milan vs Inter 0-1 Win

Inter’s strength in the derby scene relies on tactical superiority, while Milan aims to counteract with strategic shifts to reclaim ground.

Venue and Weather

The great Giuseppe Meazza Stadium stands ready to host this exciting fixture. As a shared stadium, it carries a rich history and remains a cherished venue for memorable football clashes, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter.

Expect mild overcast skies with a comfortable temperature around 22.67°C, ensuring no major weather disruptions. These pleasant conditions will help both teams focus on executing their strategies at full throttle. With overcast clouds enhancing vision and calm winds promising uninterrupted action, expect high intensity in the game.

With home-ground benefits, Inter hopes to leverage support from their fans and exploit their familiarity with the venue to extend their dominance in this Derby della Madonnina. With ideal weather, both teams will aim to leverage pace and maintain aggressiveness throughout the match.

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