Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2025-05-18 20:45:00
In Round 37 of the Serie A 2024/25 season, Fiorentina will face off against Bologna at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence. As the season draws to a close, both teams are eager to meet their goals. Fiorentina, currently 9th with 59 points, hopes to make a late push for a European spot. On the other hand, Bologna sits in 7th, fresh off a Coppa Italia win and looking to finish strong. Recent form tells a tale of contrast: Fiorentina has managed only one win in their last five games across both league and European matches. Meanwhile, Bologna has shown greater resilience, tallying two wins, a cup victory against AC Milan, and a pair of draws. Star strikers Moise Kean for Fiorentina and Riccardo Orsolini for Bologna, with 17 and 13 goals respectively, will be key to their teams’ attacking ambitions. The tactical battle between managers Raffaele Palladino and Thiago Motta will certainly be intriguing.
Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tip
The odds slightly favor Fiorentina, largely because they’re playing at home. But Bologna’s recent cup win and consistent form are hard to ignore. Moise Kean and Riccardo Orsolini are the frontmen to watch for both teams as they look potent in front of goal. Given the history and current form of both teams, it’s likely we will see goals from each side. The weather in Florence is expected to be light rain, which may slow the game, yet promote skilled passing and dynamic plays. This might benefit teams that play a technically sound game. Our top betting tip focuses on both teams finding the back of the net instead of calling a match winner.
| Bet | Odds | Stake |
|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | 1.95 – 1.96 | 10/10 |
Fiorentina vs Bologna Odds
The odds for ‘Both Teams to Score’ range from 1.95 to 1.96, reflecting the anticipated intense clash between Fiorentina and Bologna. With a 10/10 stake suggested, these odds highlight the frequent goal-scoring outcomes in their past meetings. Notably absent are odds for match winners or over/under markets, signaling a focus on both sides’ attacking capabilities. Fiorentina’s Moise Kean has scored 17 goals this season, competing well against Bologna’s Riccardo Orsolini with 13, endorsing the suggested betting market.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | 1.95 – 1.96 |
Fiorentina Team Analysis
Fiorentina Recent Performance
Fiorentina has navigated a challenging stretch in Serie A, with only one win, three losses, and a draw in their last five matches across league and European games. Their Conference League journey ended with inconsistent performances, culminating in a loss to Real Betis. A recent 2-1 defeat to Venezia on May 12 further affected team morale. In April, they managed a 2-1 home win over Empoli, showcasing resilience amidst difficulties, but faltered again against Roma. This mixed form is captured by a performance rating of 4, indicating a need for strategic changes.
| Last 5 Matches | Competition |
|---|---|
| Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina (2025-05-12) | Serie A |
| Fiorentina 2-1 Real Betis (2025-05-08) | Conference League Final Stage |
| Roma 1-0 Fiorentina (2025-05-04) | Serie A |
| Real Betis 2-1 Fiorentina (2025-05-01) | Conference League Final Stage |
| Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli (2025-04-27) | Serie A |
Fiorentina Key Players
Fiorentina’s attack relies heavily on Moise Kean, who has netted 17 goals, highlighting his crucial role. Albert Gudmundsson adds creativity to the attack, though injury worries might limit his availability. Veteran goalkeeper David De Gea is key for stability at the back. Nicolò Fagioli operates the midfield, known for ball control and tempo setting. Yacine Adli adds a creative spark in attack. Left wing-back Robin Gosens, with his attacking runs, and Rolando Mandragora, a midfield anchor, are also vital to Fiorentina’s strategy.
Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries
Fiorentina’s squad faces several issues with injuries and suspensions, affecting both the attack and midfield setups. Manager Raffaele Palladino may need to adjust tactics, potentially impacting team harmony.
| Player | Issue |
|---|---|
| Albert Gudmundsson | Injury |
| Moise Kean | Injury |
| Nicolò Zaniolo | Suspension |
| Lucas Beltrán | Suspension |
| Michael Folorunsho | Suspension |
The absence of key forwards Gudmundsson and Kean limits attacking options, while suspensions for Nicolò Zaniolo and Michael Folorunsho weaken midfield strength. The ban on Lucas Beltrán complicates things further by decreasing frontline flexibility. While the defense remains intact, young bench players or tactical reshuffling might be necessary to maintain creative play.
Fiorentina Tactics and Formation
Fiorentina usually adopts a 3-5-2 setup, using wing-backs Dodo and Robin Gosens to provide width. The three center-backs—Pongračić, Mari, and Ranieri—are responsible for defensive sturdiness. The midfield, comprising Fagioli, Adli, and Mandragora, is crucial for maintaining possession. Wing-backs play key roles in facilitating attacks. In Gudmundsson’s and Kean’s likely absence, substitutes must step up offensively. The team focuses on exploiting width and quick transitions, directed by De Gea’s accurate distribution from the back.
Bologna Team Analysis
Bologna Recent Performance
Bologna’s recent results highlight their consistency, strengthened by a Coppa Italia win over AC Milan on May 14. However, they did lose 1-3 in the league to the same side, showing some vulnerabilities. A 1-1 draw with Juventus displayed their resilience against strong competition. Their defense shone in a scoreless draw against Udinese, while a spirited 2-1 win over Empoli in the Coppa Italia semifinals boosted their morale. Their performance rating of 8 reflects their stability and momentum heading into the last rounds of the season.
| Last 5 Matches | Competition |
|---|---|
| AC Milan 0-1 Bologna (2025-05-14) | Coppa Italia |
| AC Milan 3-1 Bologna (2025-05-09) | Serie A |
| Bologna 1-1 Juventus (2025-05-04) | Serie A |
| Udinese 0-0 Bologna (2025-04-28) | Serie A |
| Bologna 2-1 Empoli (2025-04-24) | Coppa Italia |
Bologna Key Players
Bologna’s offensive threat centers on Riccardo Orsolini, who has scored 13 goals, making him a key player from the right wing. Thijs Dallinga adds depth as the main striker, being a vital target for attacks. Goalkeeper Łukasz Skorupski is essential for defense coordination. Lewis Ferguson’s role as a box-to-box midfielder bridges defense and attack. Remo Freuler’s experience adds defensive security, supporting Jens Odgaard’s offensive creativity. Dan Ndoye’s versatility heightens Bologna’s attacking arsenal.
Bologna Suspensions & Injuries
Bologna enjoys a nearly clean bill of health, aiding tactical consistency as the league season concludes. Crucially, there are no suspensions, giving manager Thiago Motta flexibility in strategy.
| Player | Issue |
|---|---|
| Estanis Pedrola | Injury |
| Martin Erlic | Injury |
Despite injuries to Pedrola and Erlic affecting attacking depth and defensive rotation, the core squad remains largely untarnished. Available senior players effectively fill key roles, ensuring squad stability.
Bologna Tactics and Formation
Bologna employs a 4-5-1 formation, emphasizing a solid midfield backed by a cohesive defense. Central defenders Beukema and Lucumi are flanked by full-backs Holm and Miranda, providing defensive assurance. Midfielders Ferguson and Freuler operate as the engine room, with Orsolini and Ndoye covering wing duties. Further upfield, Odgaard adds creativity, emphasizing Bologna’s offensive initiatives. Skorupski’s skilled goalkeeping enables quick breakouts, using counter-attacks to test Fiorentina’s defensive weaknesses.
Fiorentina vs Bologna Head-to-Head Statistics
Recent head-to-head encounters favor Bologna, who have won three of the last five matches. Fiorentina secured two wins, including an exciting 5-4 Coppa Italia match. Four of these meetings saw both teams score, hinting at likely attacking play. Matches in Florence often produce narrow scores, like 2-1 or 1-2, suggesting tight contests. The thrilling 4-5 match in early 2024 underscores the unpredictability when these teams meet.
| Date | Fixture | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2024 | Bologna vs Fiorentina | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 14 Feb 2024 | Bologna vs Fiorentina | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 09 Jan 2024 | Bologna vs Fiorentina | Coppa Italia | 4-5 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Fiorentina vs Bologna | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Fiorentina vs Bologna | Serie A | 1-2 |
Venue and Weather
The match between Fiorentina and Bologna will take place at the celebrated Stadio Artemio Franchi. This iconic stadium enhances performances with its rich history. On May 18, expect light rain and a comfortable temperature around 21°C, with mild winds of 5.84 m/s. Such conditions suggest a quicker match pace where accurate passing is vital. Players need proper footwear for traction, especially in wide areas where accurate deliveries could lead to dangerous chances. Both goalkeepers must be alert for aerial balls and low shots in what promises to be a captivating duel in Florence.
