Get ready for an electrifying evening on May 12, 2025. Atalanta and Roma are set to clash at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. With both teams fighting for a top-four spot in Serie A, this match is crucial. Atalanta currently hold third place with 68 points, eager to secure their Champions League spot. In contrast, Roma sit in fifth, just five points behind. They are intensely vying for entry into Europe’s premier competition.
Current Form
Atalanta have shown tough resilience and a knack for scoring in recent matches. With three wins, one draw, and a single loss in their last five league games, they’re in solid form. Their recent 4-0 away win against Monza highlights their formidable attack. However, their 1-1 draw with Lecce and a 0-1 loss to AC Milan demonstrate the challenges they face against tight defenses.
On the other hand, Roma’s form is impressive, riding on a wave of undefeated results in their last five Serie A matches. They’ve achieved narrow 1-0 wins over Fiorentina, Inter, and Verona. This showcases their strategic efficiency and strong defense. Roma’s consistent play keeps them in the hunt for a top spot in the league.
Key Players and Expected Absences
Atalanta rely on Mateo Retegui, their top scorer with 24 league goals. His performance is key to their attack. Yet, they face issues with several notable defensive injuries. Meanwhile, Roma must do without Paulo Dybala for the rest of the season. The uncertainty around Lorenzo Pellegrini’s fitness adds to their worries.
Teun Koopmeiners’ absence is another notable point, as his move from Atalanta to Juventus has caused ripples in team dynamics and strategic plans.
Weather and Venue
The match will happen under moderately rainy skies, with temperatures around 19°C. The Gewiss Stadium, known for its lively and intimate atmosphere, will host 24,642 enthusiastic fans. Rain will make for a slick surface, favoring a quick-paced game where defensive errors could be capitalized on by either side.
Atalanta vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tip
Roma’s recent strong defense and Atalanta’s issues with disciplined setups suggest a low-scoring match is probable. Claudio Ranieri is known for structuring teams with a tactical edge. Expect Roma to deliver a calculated away performance, taking advantage of Atalanta’s weakened defense. Thus, our betting tip is:
| Recommended Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Roma to win to nil | 7.00 |
Atalanta vs Roma Odds
Though precise odds for the match aren’t listed, Roma’s strong form will influence betting markets. Despite Atalanta’s advantage playing at home, the betting odds might slightly prefer Roma, given their unbeaten streak. Both sides have shown solid defense lately, so expect betting markets to lean toward fewer than 2.5 goals being scored.
Market Expectations
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Atalanta win | N/A |
| Draw | N/A |
| Roma win | N/A |
Home Team Analysis
Atalanta Recent Performance
Atalanta have been relentless, securing four wins in their last six contests. Their defensive solidity is notable, with only two goals conceded in the past five league matches. This underscores a commitment to fortifying their back line despite injury setbacks.
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | Monza vs Atalanta | 0 – 4 |
| 2025-04-27 | Atalanta vs Lecce | 1 – 1 |
| 2025-04-20 | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 0 – 1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Atalanta vs Bologna | 2 – 0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Atalanta vs Lazio | 0 – 1 |
Atalanta Key Players
Mateo Retegui is Atalanta’s shine, proving decisive in attack with his goal-scoring prowess. Charles De Ketelaere adds creative flair in midfield, instrumental in breaking defenses open. Marten de Roon is pivotal in transitions, while Ademola Lookman uses his speed to good effect. Despite a patched-up defense, Berat Djimsiti remains crucial at the back.
Atalanta Suspensions & Injuries
Atalanta face significant issues due to injuries:
| Player | Injury Type | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Giorgio Scalvini | Shoulder injury | Early June 2025 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | Hamstring injury | Early June 2025 |
| Sead Kolasinac | Cruciate ligament | Late August 2025 |
| Marco Palestra | Thigh injury | Late May 2025 |
| Stefan Posch | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
With key defensive players sidelined, Atalanta’s squad depth is strained, which might force tactical rearrangements in their back line.
Atalanta Tactics and Formation
Under Gian Piero Gasperini’s leadership, Atalanta might deploy a flexible 3-5-2 or 3-4-2-1 formation. Wing-backs like Bellanova and Zappacosta are vital for providing width. Expect high pressing and fast transitions as their game strategy. Gasperini focuses on midfield movement and exploiting wide areas, emphasizing possession and speed on the flanks.
Away Team Analysis
Roma Recent Performance
Roma’s defensive strength is a highlight of late. Unbeaten in five, they’ve let in just two goals during this period.
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | Roma vs Fiorentina | 1 – 0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Inter vs Roma | 0 – 1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Roma vs Verona | 1 – 0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Lazio vs Roma | 1 – 1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Roma vs Juventus | 1 – 1 |
Roma Key Players
Artem Dovbyk leads Roma’s attack with 12 goals, supported by Bryan Cristante’s solid play in the middle. Gianluca Mancini ensures defensive toughness, while Mile Svilar’s goalkeeping is vital. If Pellegrini returns, Roma’s midfield creativity gets a significant boost.
Roma Suspensions & Injuries
Injuries and fitness doubts impact Roma’s depth:
| Player | Injury Type | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Paulo Dybala | Hamstring injury | Out for season |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | Muscle injury | Late May 2025 |
Dybala’s absence, combined with Pellegrini’s uncertain status, reduces Roma’s creative options, which they need to address tactically.
Roma Tactics and Formation
Claudio Ranieri might set up Roma in a compact 3-5-2. The focus will be on defense and a packed midfield. Angelino and Soule will be key on the wings, delivering crosses. The front line, featuring Dovbyk, will try disciplined build-ups and counter-attacks to pierce Atalanta’s defense.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Atalanta have enjoyed their recent encounters with Roma, unbeaten in their last five games against them. Notably, they have managed to shut out Roma in four of these.
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-02 | Roma vs Atalanta | 0 – 2 |
| 2024-05-12 | Atalanta vs Roma | 2 – 1 |
| 2024-01-07 | Roma vs Atalanta | 1 – 1 |
| 2023-04-24 | Atalanta vs Roma | 3 – 1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Roma vs Atalanta | 0 – 1 |
Playing at the Gewiss Stadium boosts Atalanta’s confidence, thanks in part to its lively ambiance.
Venue and Weather
The famed Gewiss Stadium, seating 24,642, is renowned for its electric support and intimate setting—ideal for a gripping Serie A evening clash. With moderate rain forecast throughout the match, along with mild temperatures at 19°C, a high-energy match is on the cards. Expect players to opt for soft-ground boots to maintain grip on the wet pitch, potentially leading to an exhilarating and fast-paced game.
These factors make this matchup an exciting spectacle and a pivotal one in the race for European football dominance. Both teams will look to secure an advantage as the Serie A season nears its thrilling conclusion.
