Premier League Round 33 is heating up at St James’ Park. Newcastle United is hosting AFC Bournemouth in what promises to be an intriguing clash. The ball kicks off at 4 PM on April 18. Newcastle, sitting 14th in the table with 42 points, looks to shake off a tough patch. Meanwhile, Bournemouth stands at 11th with 45 points, giving them a slight edge over the hosts.
Team Form Overview
Newcastle had a rough ride recently, grabbing only one win, three losses, and a draw in their last five games, scoring six and conceding 12. On the flip side, Bournemouth seems resilient, managing one win and four draws, allowing only four goals. Newcastle’s home form has been shaky, with a W1-L3-D1 record, while Bournemouth shines on the road boasting W3-D2.
Team News
Midfield dynamo Bruno Guimarães’ absence is a hit for Newcastle, leaving them without his playmaking skills. Bournemouth, on the other hand, banks on Eli Junior Kroupi, who’s struck 10 times this season, being key in their successes. Given the defensive lapses in Newcastle’s setup, odds are tilting slightly in favor of Bournemouth as seen in similar Premier League scenarios.
Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tip
Bournemouth remains unbeaten in their last five, showcasing their tenacity even under pressure. Newcastle’s defense has struggled, conceding 12 in the last five outings. Their home struggles (W1-L3-D1) contrast sharply with Bournemouth’s away strength. With key players like Bruno Guimarães missing and others like Fabian Schär also unavailable, it affects their cohesion and presents a tough challenge to overcome. Bournemouth’s Eli Junior Kroupi and Evanilson are poised to exploit the gaps. Given these factors and recent form, betting on an away win seems like a sensible choice.
Recommended Bet Table
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth to win | 3.75 – 3.90 |
Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth Odds
Bookies see this as a tight match, but Bournemouth’s current form gives them a slight edge. Odds for a draw are lower than for a Newcastle win. This reflects the doubt surrounding Newcastle’s home advantage amidst ongoing challenges. Newcastle’s recent games average 3.6 goals, making ‘Over 2.5 goals’ an attractive market, especially given their defensive issues.
Match Odds Table
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Newcastle win | 2.10 |
| Draw | 3.40 |
| Bournemouth win | 3.80 |
Newcastle United Team Analysis
Home Team Recent Performance
Newcastle’s recent run has been mixed. They lost 2-1 to Crystal Palace and suffered another home defeat at Sunderland, also 2-1. Their defense crumbled in a 7-2 loss to Barcelona in the Champions League stages. A 1-0 win over Chelsea was a brief high before settling for a 1-1 draw against Barcelona in their return leg. With a form reading W1 D1 L3 over their last five games, conceding 12 goals speaks volumes about their defensive worries.
Newcastle United Recent Stats Table
| Statistic | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Form | 4 |
| Last 5 Games (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 |
| Goals Scored (Last 5) | 6 |
| Goals Conceded (Last 5) | 12 |
| Home Form (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 |
Home Team Key Players
Anthony Gordon is a crucial player for Newcastle, netting 17 goals and assisting five. His contributions will be even more vital given key absences. Meanwhile, Aaron Ramsdale, between the posts, aims to stabilize the defense. The likes of Sven Botman and Malick Thiaw will provide cover with Schär out. Young Lewis Miley is gaining attention from top clubs, offering potential flair and energy in midfield.
Home Team Suspensions & Injuries
Injuries burden Newcastle heavily. Bruno Guimarães’ muscle injury keeps him sidelined until late April. Joelinton’s suspension adds selection headaches. Brighton’s Joelinton-esque issues tilt team balance, and they will rely on youth like Lewis Miley to fill gaps.
Newcastle United Injuries & Suspensions Table
| Player | Issue | Type | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Krafth | Knee injury | Injury | Early June 2026 |
| Fabian Schär | Ankle injury | Injury | Early May 2026 |
| Bruno Guimarães | Muscle injury | Injury | Late April 2026 |
| Joelinton | Yellow card ban | Suspension | After 2 matches |
Home Team Tactics and Formation
Eddie Howe may deploy a 4-3-3 system, focusing on width via Anthony Gordon and Lewis Hall. Aaron Ramsdale starts in goal. Livramento and Hall flank the defense, while Sven Botman and Malick Thiaw feature centrally. Midfield duties fall to Sandro Tonali, Jacob Ramsey, and Lewis Miley. Upfront, a high-press is expected through Alex Murphy, William Osula, and Gordon. Set-pieces could be a decisive element at St James’ Park.
AFC Bournemouth Team Analysis
Away Team Recent Performance
Bournemouth’s unbeaten streak speaks volumes. Starting with a 2-1 win over Arsenal, they drew 2-2 with Manchester United. Their defense held strong in goalless draws against Burnley and Brentford. A 1-1 at Sunderland rounded off their recent outings. Displaying W1 D4 form, Bournemouth scored five and conceded just four. Their traveling confidence comes from a strong away form of W3-D2.
AFC Bournemouth Recent Stats Table
| Statistic | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Form | 7 |
| Last 5 Games (W-D-L) | 1-4-0 |
| Goals Scored (Last 5) | 5 |
| Goals Conceded (Last 5) | 4 |
| Away Form (W-D-L) | 3-2-0 |
Away Team Key Players
Eli Junior Kroupi leads Bournemouth’s attack with 10 goals. His partnership with Evanilson is formidable. Marcus Tavernier and Ryan Christie contribute creatively and through set-pieces. Marcos Senesi stands out defensively, with Djordje Petrovic adding reliability in goal. For transitions, rising star Rayan Vitor offers midfield dynamism.
Away Team Suspensions & Injuries
Bournemouth deals with injuries of their own. Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook are out until late April due to knee and hamstring issues, respectively. Julio Soler and Matai Akinmboni remain doubtful, impacting depth. Stability comes from the lack of suspensions, aiding consistency in their lineup.
AFC Bournemouth Injuries & Suspensions Table
| Player | Issue | Type | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Kluivert | Knee surgery | Injury | Late April 2026 |
| Lewis Cook | Hamstring injury | Injury | Late April 2026 |
| Julio Soler | Muscle injury | Injury | Doubtful |
| Matai Akinmboni | Lack of fitness | Fitness issue | Doubtful |
Away Team Tactics and Formation
Expect a solid 4-2-3-1 setup from Andoni Iraola, balancing defense with transition potency. Full-backs Jiménez and Truffert will support from the wings. Alex Scott and Rayan Vitor anchor the midfield. Marcos Senesi and James Hill lock down central defense ahead of Petrovic in goal. Up front, Evanilson is aided by Kroupi to stretch and penetrate defenses.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Newcastle United and AFC Bournemouth have been neck and neck. Their last five fixtures tell the story with several draws. Since February 2024, they have tied four times in five contests. Notably, Bournemouth managed a 4-1 win in January 2025. In their latest face-off on January 10, 2026, they drew 2-2 in the FA Cup. Their Premier League encounters often end in high-scoring or narrow margin draws.
Head-to-Head Table
| Date | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | FA Cup | Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth |
| 2025-09-21 | Premier League | Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle |
| 2025-01-18 | Premier League | Newcastle 1-4 Bournemouth |
| 2024-08-25 | Premier League | Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle |
| 2024-02-17 | Premier League | Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth |
Venue and Weather
St James’ Park gears up for this exciting Premier League encounter with its capacity of 52,354. The lively Toon Army fans are ready for action. The April day is forecasted to be warm at around 13°C with light rain creating a slick pitch. This could favor quick passing and transitions. Moderate winds of 6 m/s won’t overshadow the game but will add an edge to dynamics. Expect Bournemouth’s counter-attack to adapt well to these conditions, leveraging their structured system, while Newcastle looks to the crowd for a morale boost. The action will likely hinge on strategy and tactical adjustments come match day.
