Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atletico Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2025-05-12 01:30:00

• Competition: Primera Division Apertura (Peru)
• Universitario de Deportes wrapped up last season as champions and continue to dominate, holding the top spot in the standings.
• Alianza Atletico currently occupy the 7th position and are keen to climb higher.
• Universitario’s form in the last five league matches: 4 wins, 1 loss, boasting 14 scored and 4 conceded.
• Alianza Atletico’s last five: 3 wins, 2 losses, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded.
• Head-to-head: Universitario have been unbeaten in four out of the last five encounters.
• Leading goal scorers: Jose Rivera (5 goals) for Universitario; Agustin Graneros (6 goals) for Alianza.
• Coaches: Jorge Fossati leads Universitario, while Gerardo Ameli is at the helm for Alianza Atletico.
• The match will take place in Lima, with a kickoff set for 01:30 local time.

Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atletico Prediction & Betting Tip

With the champs in full swing and a solid defense steered by Jorge Fossati, Universitario de Deportes are tipped to take all three points. Alianza Atletico’s away form isn’t too steady, noted by two losses in their last five away fixtures. With José Rivera’s scoring prowess and a defense led by Gustavo Dulanto, the advantage seems to be skewed in Universitario’s favor.

Recommended Bet	Odds
Universitario de Deportes to win	1.72 – 1.87

Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atletico Odds

Bookies are backing a home win, mirroring Universitario’s consistent league performance and their favorable head-to-head stat. The goal markets might favor under 2.5, given Universitario’s defense and Alianza’s mixed offensive show.

• Home win odds: 1.72–1.87, aligning with their strong league form.
• Draw odds: Not publicly available.
• Away win odds: Not available.
• Universitario’s recent win percentage: 80%.
• Alianza’s recent win percentage: 60%.
• Universitario allowed only 4 goals in their latest five matches.
• Alianza let 5 through in theirs.

Market	Odds
Home Win (Universitario de Deportes)	1.72 – 1.87
Draw	N/A
Away Win (Alianza Atletico)	N/A

Universitario de Deportes Team Analysis

Universitario de Deportes Recent Performance

Opponent	Score	Result
Cusco FC	0-2	Loss
CD UT Cajamarca	6-0	Win
Barcelona SC	1-0	Win
Binacional	3-1	Win
FBC Melgar	4-1	Win

• Four victories out of five in the league.
• Dominant 6-0 win showcasing their attacking depth.
• Secured clean sheets in two out of five matches.
• Only four goals conceded during this run.
• Manager Jorge Fossati’s strategies proving successful.
• Top scorer Jose Rivera frequently on the scoresheet.
• Impressive home form, barely blemished this season.

Universitario de Deportes Key Players

• Jose Rivera: Team’s top gun with 5 league goals.
• Alex Valera: Key forward, great in the air.
• Gustavo Dulanto: Main man in defense.
• Sebastián Britos: Goalkeeper with authority.
• Jairo Concha: Midfield maestro, connects the play well.
• Jorge Murrugarra: Energetic presence all around the pitch.
• Jairo Velez: Multi-functional midfielder assisting both forwards and the defense.
• Williams Riveros: Experienced defender, significant in duels.

Universitario de Deportes Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Martin Perez Guedes	Broken ankle	Early June 2025
Horacio Martin Calcaterra	Knock injury	Late May 2025

• Perez Guedes is recovering from a broken ankle, impacting play-making in midfield.
• Calcaterra sidelined with an injury, affecting midfield defense.
• Thankfully, no suspensions influencing team selection.
• Most squad members are fit and ready to play.
• Depth might be stretched if additional injuries occur.
• Fossati might shuffle the lineup to keep energy levels high.
• No other injury updates are present from the current info.

Universitario de Deportes Tactics and Formation

• Expected formation: 5-3-2, for reinforcing defense and using wing-backs.
• Wing-backs Williams Riveros and Paolo Reyna to stretch the play.
• Midfield trio of Concha, Murrugarra, Velez to dominate possession and apply pressure.
• Twin strikers, Valera and Rivera, to capitalize on counter-attacks.
• Defense will push higher up to disrupt Alianza’s attempts to construct play.
• Strategy focuses on brisk shifts from defense to offense.
• Set-pieces an avenue due to tall defenders joining in attack.
• Jorge Fossati’s setup dissociating opponent attacks is key.

Alianza Atletico Team Analysis

Alianza Atletico Recent Performance

Opponent	Score	Result
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	2-0	Win
Ayacucho FC	2-0	Win
Sporting Cristal	1-0	Win
ADC Juan Pablo II	0-1	Loss
Cusco FC	2-4	Loss

• Three wins but also two losses recently.
• Strong defense seen in consecutive 2-0 wins.
• Blank-stared against Juan Pablo II, showing fluctuations in form.
• Allowed four goals from Cusco FC on home turf.
• Manager Gerardo Ameli’s group shows resilience but lacks steadiness.
• Top marksman Agustin Graneros tallying 6 league goals.
• In 7th place, they aspire for a higher league position.

Alianza Atletico Key Players

• Agustin Graneros: Team’s top scorer with 6 goals.
• Daniel Prieto: Dependable in goal.
• Christian Vasquez: Center-back, excels in the air.
• Frank Ysique: Creative force in the midfield.
• Rodrigo Castro: Functional central midfielder.
• Hernan Lupu: Defensive midfield shield.
• Guillermo Larios: Quick winger providing width and crosses.
• Erick Perleche: Left-back good in defense and attack.

Alianza Atletico Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury/Suspension	Expected Return
Yordi Vilchez	Meniscus injury	Late May 2025
Renato Espinosa	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Federico Illanes	Red card suspension	1 match ban

• Vilchez is out at least till May’s end, a hit to the defensive line.
• Espinosa’s muscle worry makes his inclusion touch-and-go.
• Illanes faces a suspension, narrowing the midfield options.
• No additional injuries mentioned from available details.
• The ban takes away a layer of stable defense.
• Backup strength will be put to the test, particularly at full-back.
• Gerardo Ameli may switch tactics to adapt to absences.

Alianza Atletico Tactics and Formation

• Expected formation: 4-5-1, designed for midfield stability.
• Graneros up front to lead swift counter-attacks.
• Midfield packed with five to control and clog the center.
• Full-backs Vasquez and Perleche in dual roles for steadfastness and support.
• Swift transitions and direct service to Graneros are emphasized.
• Defensive setup aims to obstruct the opponent’s play.
• Winger Larios to widen the pitch in attack.
• Gerardo Ameli’s approach could limit possession for the opposition.

Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head Statistics

Date	Home Team	Score	Away Team
2024-09-15	Alianza Atletico	0-3	Universitario de Deportes
2024-04-06	Universitario de Deportes	1-0	Alianza Atletico
2023-07-04	Universitario de Deportes	2-0	Alianza Atletico
2023-05-14	Alianza Atletico	3-1	Universitario de Deportes
2022-09-30	Alianza Atletico	2-2	Universitario de Deportes

• Universitario prevailed in four of the last five matchups.
• They’ve kept three clean sheets in those victories.
• Only draw recorded in September 2022.
• Alianza Atletico’s only win in this duration was in May 2023.
• Average victory margin for Universitario: two goals.
• Historical trends signify home dominance in these fixtures.
• Defensive strength has been crucial for Universitario’s success.

Venue and Weather

The game is booked for Lima, Peru, with the stadium confirmation to follow, likely Estadio Nacional de Lima. With a 01:30 local time kickoff, the temperature is expected to be mild at about 20°C under scattered clouds. A light breeze of approximately 3.8 m/s shouldn’t interfere with long balls or aerial battles. The pitch should be in excellent condition with no rain on the forecast, ensuring a fast-paced and open game. This nice weather will let both teams to focus fully on executing their tactics and strategies, unbothered by external weather changes. Players will be able to focus purely on their game performance without worrying about adjusting to tough weather conditions.