Monterrey vs Puebla Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 13 January 2025
The much-anticipated Liga MX Clausura 2025 clash between Monterrey and Puebla is set to take place at the impressive Estadio BBVA on January 13, 2025, kicking off at 02:00 AM. Monterrey has had a mixed start to the season, sitting in 10th place, while Puebla finds itself in 13th. Monterrey’s recent performances are a mix, but they show potential, especially following a commanding 7-0 victory over Mazatlán, showcasing their strong attacking skills. Meanwhile, Puebla is struggling, having not won a match in the last 70 days—a streak they’ll be eager to break. Both teams face their own challenges; Monterrey deals with injuries in key positions but boasts an impressive unbeaten run at home in their last eight matches. This sets up an exciting match with both sides keen to secure points early in the season.
Monterrey vs Puebla Prediction & Betting Tip
Looking at the recent form and conditions of both teams, a Monterrey win seems likely. Given Monterrey’s strong home performance and Puebla’s ongoing winless streak, this outcome is expected by many. The odds reflect Monterrey’s advantage, making it a smart bet based on their recent games.
| Monterrey vs Puebla Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Recommended Bet | Monterrey to win |
| Odds | 1.67 – 2.00 |
This recommendation is due to Monterrey’s recent impressive home performances and Puebla’s continuous struggles in the league. The odds clearly show Monterrey’s upper hand, suggesting it’s a sound choice to back them considering their recent performances.
Monterrey vs Puebla Odds
In this matchup, Monterrey is the favorite, with bookmakers offering odds around 1.67 for a home win. Puebla, on the other hand, is considered the underdog, with their odds for causing an upset sitting at approximately 3.80. If the match ends in a draw, the odds are about 3.40. There’s also an option for betting on both teams to score, priced at about 1.93, pointing to perhaps an open game.
| Monterrey vs Puebla Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Monterrey Win | 1.67 |
| Draw | 3.40 |
| Puebla Win | 3.80 |
| Both Teams to Score | 1.93 |
These odds give Monterrey the edge, backing their strong recent displays and favorable home record.
Monterrey Team Analysis
Monterrey Recent Performance
Monterrey’s recent results show a mix of highlights and setbacks: D, L, W, L, W, with their latest match against CF America ending in a 1-1 draw. They have scored an impressive 13 goals in their last five matches, showcasing their aggressive attack. However, their defense is a concern, having let in nine goals over the same period. Despite these issues, Monterrey’s home form is noteworthy, remaining undefeated in their last eight home games. A standout result includes a 5-1 victory over Atlético de San Luis.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | Atlético de San Luis | 5-1 |
| Monterrey | Mazatlán | 7-0 |
| CF America | Monterrey | 1-1 |
| Atlas FC | Monterrey | 2-0 |
| Monterrey | Tigres UANL | 3-2 |
These results highlight Monterrey’s strength, especially at home. Monterrey’s squad depth and attacking power underscore their competitive position in the league.
Monterrey Key Players
Monterrey’s strategies in attack and defense include several key players. Germán Berterame has become a central figure in the attack, appointed by coach Martín Demichelis to lead the forward line. Veteran defender Héctor Moreno, despite nearing the end of his career, provides stability and experience in defense. Brandon Vazquez, though facing injury issues, is vital for scoring crucial goals.
The midfield is led by Oliver Torres, essential for smooth transitions and tactical play. Versatile midfielder Iker Fimbres is known for his playmaking skills, while Esteban Andrada is expected to strengthen the defense after recovering from a knee injury. Young talent Jorge Rodriguez brings energy and is seen as a key player for the future.
Monterrey Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Esteban Andrada | Knee injury | Mid-January 2025 |
| Jordi Cortizo | Ankle injury | Mid-April 2025 |
Goalkeeper Esteban Andrada’s knee injury has put Luiz Cardenas in a key role as the goalkeeper. Jordi Cortizo’s long-term ankle injury has led to adjustments in Monterrey’s midfield strategy. No current suspensions affect the team, giving the coaching staff flexibility. Fans are eager for the debut of new signing Nelson Deossa, who is expected to add skill and depth to Monterrey’s squad. Given the injury situation, Monterrey’s staff meticulously manages their squad to maintain high competitive standards this season.
Monterrey Tactics and Formation
Monterrey is likely to use a flexible 4-3-3 formation. This setup supports aggressive pressing and fluid attacks. Under the guidance of Martín Demichelis, this formation includes a midfield strong in tactical versatility. Héctor Moreno leads the defense, ensuring structure and security.
Up front, Germán Berterame is crucial as a central striker, tasked with breaking through defenses with smart runs and accurate finishes. The wings are key to creating chances, using speed and technical skill to challenge defenses. The formation can adapt to defensive priorities when needed, especially when defending a lead, showing Monterrey’s strategic flexibility and organized play.
Puebla Team Analysis
Puebla Recent Performance
Puebla’s recent form shows challenges, with results: L, L, W, L, L, indicating struggles in different areas. Their goal-scoring is weak, shown by just three goals in five matches. Their defense also needs work, having conceded 11 goals in the same span, showing weaknesses opponents have taken advantage of.
Despite ongoing troubles, Puebla did achieve an away win against CD Guadalajara, hinting at their potential for surprises. However, their recent 2-1 defeat to Tijuana highlighted their need for defensive strength, particularly in away games.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Puebla | Tijuana | 1-2 |
| CD Guadalajara | Puebla | 0-1 |
| Puebla | Cruz Azul | 0-3 |
| Pachuca | Puebla | 2-0 |
| Puebla | Santos Laguna | 1-1 |
Puebla’s new manager, Pablo Guede, aims to adjust tactics to improve consistency. Current formations and player positions are being reviewed to boost performance.
Puebla Key Players
As Puebla adapts to new tactics, key players are crucial. Striker Luis Quinones is key in leading the attack and creatively challenging Monterrey’s defense. Midfielder Diego De Buen’s flexible role is part of Guede’s strategy, offering a wide range of on-field contributions.
The absence of Fernando Aristeguieta due to injury puts more pressure on other forwards to step up. Facundo Waller plays a smart role in supporting both defense and attack, aiding strategic shifts.
In defense, Efrain Orona is a strong presence against opponents, following coach Guede’s plans. In goal, Miguel Ponce Jimenez is vital, his performance closely tied to the team’s defensive success. Encouraging young talents adds resilience and depth to Puebla’s strategic plans.
Puebla Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Aristeguieta | Broken foot | Unknown return |
| Lucas Cavallini | Cruciate ligament injury | Early March 2025 |
Injuries to Aristeguieta and Cavallini weaken Puebla’s attack, leading to squad rotations and reliance on new talents. Managing these injuries is key as they progress in recovery, although no suspensions disrupt the current game plan. Puebla’s medical and coaching teams focus on creative succession planning to cope with the absence of their top scorers, indicating a period of tactical change to remain competitive.
Puebla Tactics and Formation
Under Pablo Guede, Puebla is likely to use a classic 4-4-2 formation. The focus is on a well-organized defense to handle Monterrey’s attacks.
Guede emphasizes a disciplined style of play, using the tactical flexibility of midfielders to respond to opponent strengths and weaknesses. This strategy involves compact play and quick counter-attacks, using fast wingers to exploit gaps when possible.
Puebla aims to blend traditional tactics with modern adaptations, planning to foresee and tackle challenges effectively.
Monterrey vs Puebla Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Monterrey has dominated recent meetings with Puebla, winning four of the last five games. This showcases Monterrey’s consistent tactical success against them. Matches between these teams often yield high scores, highlighting Monterrey’s strong offense overpowering Puebla’s defense.
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | Puebla | 2-1 |
| Puebla | Monterrey | 0-3 |
| Monterrey | Puebla | 1-0 |
| Puebla | Monterrey | 1-4 |
| Monterrey | Puebla | 1-1 |
Monterrey secured a 2-1 win in August 2024, using tactics that continually put Puebla on the defensive. These trends show Monterrey’s ability to use home advantage and counter Puebla’s game plans effectively.
Venue and Weather
The Estadio BBVA, known for being an iconic venue in Mexican football, offers modern facilities and a lively fan atmosphere. With the match set under perfect playing conditions, the temperature is expected to be 11.83°C, with clear skies and a light breeze. This ideal weather supports a quality game, letting players execute strategies without weather interference.
The absence of rain ensures a firm and fast pitch, encouraging fluid ball movement and showcasing technical skills in offensive play. These venue and weather factors create an ideal setting for a thrilling and competitive match, where team strategies take center stage to decide the result.
