Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco FC Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2025-05-12 00:30:00
Get ready for an exciting showdown in the Peruvian Primera Division Apertura as Deportivo Garcilaso takes on Cusco FC. The match is set for May 12, 2025, at 00:30 local time. Both teams have one aim in mind: to climb the standings, making this encounter crucial. Deportivo Garcilaso, under the guidance of coach Guillermo Duro, is counting on Pablo Erustes, their top scorer with 7 goals this season. On Cusco FC’s side, coach Miguel Rondelli will be looking to Facundo Callejo, who also has 7 goals under his belt, to lead their attack.
Deportivo Garcilaso has been struggling with form recently. They have just 2 wins against 3 losses in their last five matches. They’ve managed to score 6 goals while conceding 5 in that period. Cusco FC, meanwhile, is in steadier form. They’ve notched up 3 wins and 2 losses, scoring 10 goals and conceding 5 along the way.
Historically, Cusco FC has had the upper hand. They have won 3 out of the last 4 matchups against Deportivo Garcilaso. As of now, there are no injuries reported for either team, meaning both squads will be at full strength. The weather forecast predicts clear skies and a cool 15°C at kickoff, which should provide a perfect setting for a thrilling game. Betting markets are currently tilting towards Cusco FC, offering a Draw No Bet option at odds of 2.38.
Home team vs Away team Prediction & Betting tip
Cusco FC probably has a mental advantage here. They’ve won 3 out of the last 4 games against Garcilaso. Their recent attacking form is also superior, with 10 goals to Garcilaso’s 6, showcasing their offensive strength. While both teams’ top scorers have the same goal count, Callejo has been a decisive player for Cusco. Deportivo Garcilaso hasn’t been very consistent at home, recording 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five games there. This contrasts with Cusco FC’s more steady performance, making them a tough opponent. With both teams free from injuries, they can field full-strength squads. Given these factors, a Draw No Bet on Cusco FC looks like a smart betting move.
| Recommended Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cusco FC Draw No Bet | 2.38 |
Home team vs Away team Odds
Right now, the betting odds put emphasis on the Cusco FC Draw No Bet at 2.38. There’s no information on separate 1X2 odds or goal line markets available here. This focus shows the bookmaker’s confidence in Cusco FC avoiding a loss. The lack of other markets suggests this match might not have much betting activity in the Peruvian Apertura. The absence of Asian handicap figures and prop markets like first scorer or total cards makes this a seemingly safe wager for bettors.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cusco FC Draw No Bet | 2.38 |
Home team Team Analysis
Home team Recent Performance
Deportivo Garcilaso’s form has been shaky recently, with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 away loss at CD UT Cajamarca. At home, they have suffered consecutive defeats against Binacional and Alianza Lima, failing to score in both games. Despite these setbacks, they recorded a solid 3-0 win at Sport Huancayo and a comeback 2-1 victory at Melgar, which showcased their potential and resilience. Over these games, Garcilaso has scored 6 goals but conceded 5, indicating issues in defense as they’ve let in at least one goal in four out of their last five fixtures.
| Date | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | CD UT Cajamarca | 2 – 1 (A) |
| 2025-04-26 | Binacional | 0 – 1 (H) |
| 2025-04-18 | FBC Melgar | 1 – 2 (A) |
| 2025-04-15 | Alianza Lima | 0 – 1 (H) |
| 2025-04-05 | Sport Huancayo | 0 – 3 (A) |
Home team Key Players
Pablo Erustes is a standout for Deportivo Garcilaso, leading their scoring efforts with 7 goals. Adrián Ugarriza provides speed and poses an aerial threat in attack. At the back, goalkeeper Patrick Zubczuk is a reliable presence, ensuring stability and experience from veteran defender Juan Lojas. Midfielder Jorge Bazán injects energy and dynamism into the squad with his box-to-box play. Young Yuriel Celi adds creativity in the midfield, supplying crucial through balls. Coach Guillermo Duro might use midfielders Beltran and Sandoval to manage the game’s tempo and keep possession.
Home team Suspensions & Injuries
Deportivo Garcilaso has no major injuries or suspensions reported, allowing Coach Guillermo Duro to field his strongest possible lineup.
| Player | Injury/Suspension | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| – | – | – |
Home team Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Garcilaso is likely to set up in a 4-5-1 formation, focusing on midfield stability. Patrick Zubczuk will be in goal, shielded by a back four of Canales, Lojas, Gariglio, and Núñez. Beltrán and García are expected to play as a double pivot in midfield, with Bazán, Celi, and Sandoval in more advanced positions. Ugarriza will take charge upfront as the lone forward, tasked with holding up the ball and linking play. Watch for quick transitions from defense to attack, using Sandoval and Beltrán’s flanking runs to disrupt Cusco FC’s defense. Coach Duro might employ a compact defense, counting on fast counterattacks to exploit any gaps left by the opposition.
Away team Team Analysis
Away team Recent Performance
Cusco FC enters this match with three wins and two losses in their last five games. Most recently, they defeated Universitario de Deportes 2-0 at home, showcasing strong form. A 4-2 win over ADC Juan Pablo II highlighted their attacking quality, while a 3-0 away win at Ayacucho FC reinforced their offensive credentials. However, a tight 2-1 loss at AD Tarma and a 1-0 setback away at Sporting Cristal point to occasional vulnerabilities. Cusco FC has scored an impressive 10 goals in this spell, allowing 5 in return.
| Date | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Universitario de Deportes | 2 – 0 (H) |
| 2025-04-28 | Asociación Deportiva Tarma | 1 – 2 (A) |
| 2025-04-20 | Ayacucho FC | 3 – 0 (H) |
| 2025-04-13 | Sporting Cristal | 0 – 1 (A) |
| 2025-04-06 | ADC Juan Pablo II | 4 – 2 (H) |
Away team Key Players
Facundo Callejo is essential to Cusco FC’s attack, spearheading with 7 goals. The midfield duo of Silva and Colman is key, linking defense with attack seamlessly. Oswaldo Valenzuela adds defensive cover and energy. Lucas Colitto provides width and consistently delivers dangerous crosses. Defensively, Aldair Fuentes secures the backline with his aerial ability, crucial in set-piece situations. Goalkeeper Pedro Diaz commands the defense, keeping them organized. Coach Miguel Rondelli will likely depend on the flanks, asking Ampuero and Gamarra to support in transition phases.
Away team Suspensions & Injuries
Cusco FC comes into this game without any major injuries or suspensions, enabling Coach Miguiendo and his ability to field his best lineup.
| Player | Injury/Suspension | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| – | – | – |
Away team Tactics and Formation
Cusco FC is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Callejo leading the frontline. The defensive unit should see Ruidías, Fuentes, Ampuero, and Gamarra offering coverage and width in defense. Valenzuela and Diez are the likely midfield pivot, providing defensive solidity and facilitating quick transitions. Silva, Colman, and Colitto, playing behind Callejo, will aim to open scoring opportunities through sharp interplay and incisive passes. Expect Coach Rondelli to capitalize on fast breaks, exploiting any defensive gaps Garcilaso might leave, especially when pressing forward aggressively. Full-backs might be asked to overlap to enhance offensive options, with tactical emphasis on compact defense and launching direct attacks spearheaded by Callejo.
Home team vs Away team Head-to-Head Statistics
In previous clashes, Cusco FC holds the advantage, having won three out of the last four games against Deportivo Garcilaso. Garcilaso earned their sole victory in this sequence with a narrow 2-1 home win on September 16, 2023. Two recent face-offs in 2024 saw Cusco winning comfortably with scores of 2-0 and 1-0, respectively. On average, these head-to-head encounters produce 2 goals per match, with Cusco outscoring Garcilaso 5 to 3 across the four fixtures. This past record may enhance Cusco FC’s confidence heading into the upcoming match, suggesting they have a psychological edge. Notably, home advantage has not played a significant role in altering these outcomes historically between these teams.
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-29 | Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco FC | 0 – 2 |
| 2024-02-17 | Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco FC | 0 – 1 |
| 2023-09-16 | Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco FC | 2 – 1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco FC | 1 – 2 |
Venue and Weather
This Primera Division contest will unfold in Peru, known for its diverse-altitude stadiums, adding a unique twist to many games. While the specific venue is not mentioned, the match is set to take place at 00:30 local time. Weather predictions indicate a comfortable temperature around 15°C, making for perfect conditions for a high-energy game. The skies are expected to remain clear, with a minimal chance of rain, promising a disturbance-free game. With light winds between 5 and 10 km/h, aerial duels and ball trajectory should remain unaffected, paving the way for a fast-paced contest where strategy, form, and player performance will be front and center. Coaches can thus plan aggressive tactics, knowing that physical endurance, tactical choices, and skill execution will be the match’s decisive factors.
