Get ready for a thrilling ride as Alianza FC takes on Deportivo Pasto in an exciting Colombian Primera A showdown. Mark your calendars for April 1, 2026, at 23:10 in Colombia. Both teams have something to prove, sitting in opposite corners of the standings.
- Alianza FC is having a tough season, holding the 17th spot with only 11 points. Consistency has been their Achilles’ heel.
- Deportivo Pasto is flying high, comfortably in 2nd place with 27 points. Their 80% win ratio speaks volumes about their stellar form.
Checking recent performances, Alianza FC has put up a fight with a record of L, W, W, D, D in the last five league games. They netted 4 goals while letting in 3. Yet, their main headache is scoring, leaning heavily on Wiston Fernandez, who has just a single goal to his name.
On the flip side, Deportivo Pasto is smashing it with a form sheet of W, W, L, W, W. Scoring 11 times and conceding 7 in their last few outings shows their attacking might. Leading the charge is Andrey Estupinan, who’s lighting up the field with 9 goals this season.
Historically, the two squads are neck and neck. Over their past five encounters, both teams have celebrated two victories, with one match ending in a draw — setting the stage for a tightly contested fixture.
Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Betting Tip
Even though Alianza FC will enjoy home ground support, Deportivo Pasto seems to have the upper hand, considering their current form.
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto to win (Draw No Bet) | 1.83 |
Here are a few reasons why Deportivo Pasto is more likely to win:
- They sit much higher on the league table (2nd vs 17th), indicating stronger all-around performances.
- Pasto’s 80% win ratio gives them a clear confidence boost next to Alianza’s 40%.
- With Andrey Estupinan firing off goals, Pasto’s attack looks sharper and more capable.
- Alianza’s measly 4 goals point to a struggling front line that’s unlikely to pressure Pasto’s defense.
- Recent form favors Deportivo Pasto with four wins in five matches, overshadowing Alianza’s mixed results.
- Opting for a ‘Draw No Bet’ gives a safety net in case of a stalemate, which reflects the historical balance of their meetings.
- With odds at 1.83, the implied probability of 54.6% makes this bet valuable considering the teams’ contrasting forms.
Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto Odds
| Market | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw No Bet | Deportivo Pasto | 1.83 |
Odds suggest that Deportivo Pasto’s recent success and league position make them favorites. Limited data on other markets directs focus sharply on this likely outcome.
- Market trends highlight Pasto’s solid defensive showings as a crucial element, alongside Alianza’s lack of scoring prowess.
- Alianza’s home advantage doesn’t seem to worry bookmakers who lean towards Pasto pegging them for success.
- The absence of other markets emphasizes match results, supporting Pasto’s expected upper hand.
Home team Analysis
Alianza FC Recent Performance
| Date | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza FC | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Alianza FC vs Deportivo Cali | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Alianza FC vs CD Jaguares | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Fe vs Alianza FC | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Junior FC vs Alianza FC | 1-1 |
In their last five matches, Alianza FC has managed one win, two draws, and two losses. They kept things tight at the back, achieving two clean sheets in 1-0 victories, but have struggled to find the net with only 4 goals scored and 3 conceded.
- Wins at home against Deportivo Cali and CD Jaguares show they can defend well.
- However, draws with Santa Fe and Junior FC reveal their inability to finish games strongly.
- The narrow 1-0 away loss at Aguilas Doradas points to challenges in playing on unfamiliar grounds.
- They boast a 40% win rate during this period, illustrating a stop-start form pattern.
- Stuck at 17th in the table, their defensive grit is noticeable, but the lack of goals is a major worry.
Alianza FC Key Players
- Wiston Fernandez: The frontman with a single goal, he carries the hopes of breaking defenses.
- Johan Wallens Otalvaro: The shot-stopper, noted for two clean sheets, keeps the defense grounded.
- Carlos Lucumi: Up top as the only forward, tasked to unsettle Pasto’s backline.
- Pedro Franco: Veteran center-back, key to organizing the rear-guard and stifling Pasto’s advances.
- Felipe Pardo: Midfielder offering creativity, orchestrating plays, and setting the tempo.
- Fabian Cantillo: In central midfield, he anchors play, disrupting opposition and holding the shape.
- Josy Perez: Bridges defense and attack, crucial for connecting the lines.
- Jair Castillo: Provides width and crossing down the wing, pivotal for creating chances.
Alianza FC Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| – | – | – |
No key players are out, allowing Alianza to field a full squad without any forced changes.
Alianza FC Tactics and Formation
- Coach Camilo Ayala opts for a 4-5-1 setup, emphasizing solid defense.
- Defensive Line-Up: A back four of Yilson Rosales, Jesus Figueroa, Pedro Franco, and Juan Viveros.
- Midfield Setup: Jair Castillo, Jhildrey Lasso, Fabian Cantillo, Josy Perez, and Felipe Pardo will control the central park, also offering attacking support.
- Forward Line: Carlos Lucumi is the lone striker, supported from both wide and central positions.
- Counter-attacks driven by their defensive play is the aim.
- Full-backs are encouraged to push forward and create overlapping options.
- Central midfield focuses on stifling Pasto’s play and creating chances from set-pieces.
- Likely to bring in defensive options from the bench to keep things tight as the game progresses.
Away team Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Recent Performance
| Date | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Deportivo Pasto vs Chico FC | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto | 4-2 |
| 2026-03-10 | Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta | 3-2 |
Deportivo Pasto shines with four wins and a single loss in their recent matches, scoring 11 times but conceding 7. Their dominance is emphasized with shutout wins against Chico FC and America de Cali, though a 4-2 loss to Once Caldas was a bump in the road.
- Their 2-1 away win at Fortaleza shows they can seal results on the road.
- They’re firmly placed in 2nd with 27 points, with 80% of matches ending in victories, reinforcing their title potential.
- Key Player: Top scorer Andrey Estupinan is essential, boosting their goal count.
Deportivo Pasto Key Players
- Andrey Estupinan: Star man with 9 goals, leading their goal-scoring ventures.
- Iago Herrerin: The keeper, well known for key stops, adds reliability to the defense.
- Santiago Jimenez: Holds the right-back, solid in defense, adds attacking runs.
- Fainer Torijano Cano: Aerial presence and defensive leader as center-back.
- Nicolas Gil: Impactful at left-back, contributing on both ends.
- Johan Caicedo: Versatile box-to-box, effective at managing play transitions.
- Yeiler Goez: Known for tenacity, crucial in ball recovery.
- Jonathan Perlaza: Brings flair and a creative element in midfield.
- Mateo Garavito: As a holding midfielder, he shields the defense effectively.
Deportivo Pasto Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| – | – | – |
Deportivo Pasto enters the game without any suspension woes or injury worries, allowing Coach Jonathan Risueno full choice in tactics.
Deportivo Pasto Tactics and Formation
- Coach Jonathan Risueno favors a structured 4-5-1 setup balancing defense with attacking moves.
- Defensive Base: Santiago Jimenez, Fainer Torijano Cano, Nicolas Gil, and Edwin Velasco form a sound defensive unit.
- Midfield Composition: Midfield consists of Johan Caicedo, Yeiler Goez, Santiago Cordoba, Mateo Garavito, and Jonathan Perlaza, offering varied support.
- Attack Strategy: Andrey Estupinan is the lead, using structured plays and quick shifts to threaten Alianza’s defense.
- Focus on pressing and winning quick transitions to disrupt Alianza’s strategy.
- Attack often initiated from the wings, benefiting from full-backs’ overlaps.
- Dual holding midfielders ensure defensive solidity, allowing freer play up front.
- Late-stage rotations to keep up energy levels and tactical control.
Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head Statistics
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza FC | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-15 | Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-30 | Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza FC | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-15 | Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-05 | Alianza FC vs Deportivo Pasto | 1-0 |
They have gone toe-to-toe in past matches. Both teams have two wins each and a single draw out of their last five meetings, underscoring the fierce competition between them.
- The thrilling 3-3 draw in October 2025 highlighted the dynamic between the two.
- Alianza FC has managed to pull off two home victories in June 2023 and April 2025, whereas Pasto claimed an away triumph in September 2024.
- Three of these encounters saw both teams contribute goals.
Venue and Weather
The match will kick off somewhere in Colombia at 23:10 on April 1, 2026. The weather forecast predicts a warm 29.95°C with light rain for the evening clash, potentially speeding up play on the slick pitch.
- The temperature of around 30°C is comfortable, not causing undue stress on players.
- Light rain could make the pitch slick, aiding quick passes but posing control challenges.
- Moderate wind speeds of 3.02 m/s should not disrupt play much, with long balls and passes unaffected.
- With humidity at 51%, endurance won’t be overly tested.
- Teams should anticipate a fast-paced game where skill and precision come to the fore.
This contest promises to be a fascinating one, with tactical shifts influenced by team forms and how they adapt to the conditions.
