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Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus: Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2024-11-20

Buenos Aires, Argentina. 11th Nov, 2024. Buenos Aires, 11.11.2024: Elias Gomez of Velez Sarfield during the match for 22th round of Argentinian League at Guillermo Laza Stadium ( Credit: Néstor J. Beremblum/Alamy Live News
© Alamy / Néstor J. Beremblum

The upcoming match between Velez Sarsfield and Lanus on November 20, 2024, at the Estadio José Amalfitani, is shaping up to be quite the showdown in Round 23 of the Liga Profesional. Velez Sarsfield comes into this match leading Group A, thanks to their consistently strong performances this season. On the flip side, Lanus is having a tough time, struggling in 18th place in Group B and dealing with inconsistencies and several injuries.

Braian Romero is a key player for Velez, topping the league’s scoring charts with a fantastic tally of 12 goals. He’s expected to play a crucial role in this fixture. Velez is the favorite, as they haven’t lost to Lanus in their last five encounters, with four wins and one draw. Their outstanding home form—four wins and a draw in their last five home matches—adds to their prospects. Lanus, however, is looking to shake off a winless streak despite a recent boost from beating Boca Juniors, suggesting they might find a way back to form. Historically, Velez holds a slight advantage in head-to-head matches, having won 12 times compared to Lanus’s 9.

Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus Prediction & Betting Tip

  • Prediction: Velez Sarsfield to win
  • Odds Range: 1.62 – 1.7
  • Suggested Bet: Velez Sarsfield to win
Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus Prediction
Betting Tip Odds
Velez Sarsfield to win 1.65

Reasoning: With Velez’s impressive home records, their position as league leaders, and Lanus’s struggles, betting on a home win seems wise. Velez’s recent performances and their historical advantage over Lanus support this prediction.

Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus Odds

Velez Sarsfield is the favorite for this match, thanks to their top position in the league and steady form. Lanus is the underdog, and the odds reflect their longer shot at victory. Although the odds strongly suggest Velez’s advantage, Lanus’s recent victory against Boca hints that they should not be completely ruled out.

Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Velez Sarsfield Win 1.65
Draw 3.80
Lanus Win 5.00

These odds highlight Velez’s favoritism while also hinting at a cautious optimism due to Lanus’s potential to surprise stronger teams, as seen in their recent uptick in performance.

Velez Sarsfield Team Analysis

Velez Sarsfield Recent Performance

Velez Sarsfield has been in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with a win and four draws. They’ve recently drawn against strong teams like Argentinos Juniors and River Plate, showcasing resilience and the ability to compete with top-tier opponents. At their home, Estadio José Amalfitani, they have been especially formidable, boosting their confidence.

Home Team Away Team Result
Deportivo Riestra Velez Sarsfield 1-1
Velez Sarsfield Tigre 1-0
Argentinos Juniors Velez Sarsfield 1-1
Velez Sarsfield Belgrano 1-1
River Plate Velez Sarsfield 1-1

Velez’s strategy often focuses on maintaining possession and applying pressure late in the game. This tactic is strengthened by their defensive stability and the attacking prowess led by Braian Romero.

Velez Sarsfield Key Players

Key players like Braian Romero, Elias Gomez, and Claudio Aquino play crucial roles in Velez’s game plan. Romero has been outstanding, leading the league with 12 goals, showcasing his knack for altering the course of matches. Aquino contributes with his creative midfield play, while Elias Gomez strengthens their defense.

Romero’s scoring capabilities, paired with Aquino’s crucial role in midfield, give Velez an edge in penetrating Lanus’s defenses. Goalkeeper Tomas Marchiori adds reliability to their defense, crucial in maintaining pressure and seizing opportunities against Lanus.

Velez Sarsfield Suspensions & Injuries

Injuries have challenged Velez Sarsfield, impacting their squad depth and flexibility.

Player Name Injury Expected Return
Ricardo Centurion Meniscus injury Late November 2024
Alejo Sarco Knee injury Late November 2024
Emanuel Mammana Shoulder injury Early December 2024
Michael Santos Muscle injury Late November 2024
Santiago Cáseres Illness Late November 2024
Brian Abel Luciatti Muscle injury Late November 2024

Despite these setbacks, Velez has managed to maintain their league leadership through effective squad management and tactical decisions, crucial in ensuring their performance remains consistent.

Velez Sarsfield Tactics and Formation

Expected Formation: 4-2-3-1

Velez employs a tactical setup focusing on strong wing play and midfield dominance. Their defensive strategy is about keeping structured lines and executing quick counter-attacks, using fast-paced play on the wings to find holes in their opponent’s defense.

Velez’s manager prefers adaptability, allowing them to adjust their level of pressing. They maintain a compact defensive shape while initiating swift counter-attacks. The 4-2-3-1 formation enables them to be flexible, optimizing both their defensive coverage and offensive maneuvers.

Lanus Team Analysis

Lanus Recent Performance

Lanus recently celebrated a much-needed win over Boca Juniors, putting an end to their winless run. While they have shown promise in defense occasionally, their poor form on the road remains an issue. Their narrow losses and draws illustrate their underlying potential, but they must find a cohesive tactical approach.

Home Team Away Team Result
Lanus Club Atletico Platense 0-0
Talleres Lanus 1-2
Lanus Boca Juniors 1-0
Lanus Cruzeiro 0-1
Atletico Tucuman Lanus 1-0

Despite recent wins, Lanus’s fluctuating form underscores the need for a consistent defensive and strategic game, particularly when facing strong teams like Velez Sarsfield.

Lanus Key Players

For Lanus, key players include Walter Bou, Lautaro Acosta, and Marcelino Moreno, each contributing essential qualities. Bou is crucial as a goal-scoring threat, while Acosta’s experience adds stability in the midfield, vital in matches demanding finesse and control.

Moreno’s dribbling skills and vision are central to Lanus’s attack build-up, and Carlos Izquierdoz offers defensive reliability. Additionally, Nahuel Losada’s capable goalkeeping could be pivotal in tight game scenarios.

The synergy and contributions of these players are vital if Lanus hopes to counter Velez’s dominance and mount successful counter-attacks.

Lanus Suspensions & Injuries

Lanus faces multiple injury challenges that might weaken their ability to present a fully strong side:

Player Name Injury Expected Return
Raul Loaiza Cruciate ligament injury Out for the season
Leandro Diaz Achilles tendon injury Early December 2024
Nery Dominguez Groin injury Few weeks
Nicolas Morgantini Achilles tendon injury Early December 2024

These injuries require tactical flexibility from Lanus’s coaching staff to ensure effectiveness despite adversities, adjusting strategies to overcome these challenges.

Lanus Tactics and Formation

Expected Formation: 4-2-3-1

Lanus prioritizes a solid defense, looking to exploit counter-attacks and maintain structure against more dominant teams. The team embraces rapid transitions, using Walter Bou’s physical prowess upfront to make the most of set-plays and quick shifts in play.

They maintain a disciplined defensive stance, often absorbing pressure and relying on full-backs for overlapping offensive roles. Due to injuries, Lanus’s strategy may involve less pressing, thus avoiding gaps in their defense, while using strategic substitutions to inject energy in the later phases of the game.

Home team vs Away team Head-to-Head Statistics

Velez Sarsfield leads the head-to-head battle with 12 wins to Lanus’s 9 victories, with 5 games ending in draws. Velez’s home supremacy is particularly evident, highlighted by their recent 1-0 win over Lanus at Estadio José Amalfitani. This historical pattern points to Velez retaining the upper hand when they host Lanus, a pattern that might continue in this fixture.

Home Away Result
Velez Sarsfield Lanus 1-0
Lanus Velez Sarsfield 0-0
Velez Sarsfield Lanus 3-2
Lanus Velez Sarsfield 1-1
Velez Sarsfield Lanus 2-1

Given the competitive edge in previous encounters with tight scorelines, Lanus should prepare for a challenging match as they strive to end Velez’s impressive home record.

Venue and Weather

The Estadio José Amalfitani in Buenos Aires will host this match, with clear skies and a comfortable temperature of 22.45°C providing the ideal backdrop for this clash. The conditions are perfect for optimal gameplay, ensuring limited disturbances from the environment.

The moderate winds of 8.81 m/s will support smooth play with minimal impact on the ball’s movement, allowing both teams to focus on their strategies and techniques. Under these favorable conditions, both teams are expected to perform well, although Velez might have an edge owing to their familiarity with the stadium and home crowd.

The excellent weather ensures that the main factors influencing match dynamics will revolve around tactics, player condition, and perhaps the strategic deployment of key players, which Velez could exploit given their familiarity with the venue’s playing conditions.

For further insights into the Argentine Primera Division, where these teams compete, and an in-depth view of Lanus’ current standing, explore these resources to enrich your understanding of the league dynamics.

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