Poland vs Sweden Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2025-07-08 21:00:00

The upcoming Group C clash in the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 sees Poland taking on Sweden, a fixture set to captivate football fans. Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 CEST at the Allmend Stadion in Lucerne. Both squads are eager to showcase their skills on the European stage. Entering the match, Poland boasts a solid recent run, with a 60% win record. They’ve netted 12 goals, conceding just 3 in their last five matches. Sweden shows equal resilience, mirroring Poland’s win ratio with 10 goals scored and only 2 conceded in the same span. Both sides have displayed defensive prowess, each achieving three clean sheets in their recent games. Yet, history favors Sweden. They have triumphed in all five of their last match-ups with Poland, recording decisive victories of 4-2, 4-0, 3-0, 4-0, and 2-0.

Poland vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tip

In this match-up, Sweden enters the fray as the favorites. This is chiefly due to their head-to-head dominance and impressive performances in the group stages. However, Poland’s recent form is not to be overlooked. Their +2.50 Asian handicap presents great value for bettors anticipating a close game. Poland’s attack, evidenced by 12 goals in recent games, suggests they could challenge Sweden’s tough defense. Sweden has only conceded twice in their last five games. But, Poland’s knack for exploiting defensive lapses could shift the balance. Historically, betting markets favor Sweden. Yet, the current handicap range of 1.57–1.70 indicates expectations for a tight contest, potentially resulting in a narrow Sweden win.

Recommended Bet & Odds
Poland +2.50 (Asian H’cap)	1.57 – 1.70

A key factor here is Poland’s confidence from past big victories, including a 4-0 win over Ukraine and a solid 3-0 performance in the UEFA Nations League. Sweden, on the other hand, rides on momentum from their recent 1-0 triumph against Denmark, bolstered by strong showings in the Nations League. This fixture promises to offer strategic depth and tactical insights. Both teams will face tests of their competitive resolve.

Poland vs Sweden Odds

Though a comprehensive odds table isn’t available, the Asian handicap price favors Poland +2.50, listed between 1.57 and 1.70. Both teams have a 60% win rate in their last five fixtures, making this game pretty unpredictable.

• Poland: 12 goals scored, 3 conceded.
• Sweden: 10 goals scored, 2 conceded.
• Sweden has won all five recent head-to-head meetings.
• Poland lost their last UEFA Women’s Euro group-stage to Germany 2-0.
• Sweden drew 0-0 with Italy in their sole Euro group-stage draw.
• Both teams have recently earned three clean sheets each.

Poland Team Analysis

Poland Recent Performance

Poland approaches the match with a mixed bag of solid performances and occasional setbacks:

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score
2025-07-04	Women’s EURO Group C	Germany	0–2 L
2025-06-27	Friendlies	Ukraine	4–0 W
2025-06-03	UEFA WNL B Grp. 1	Romania	3–0 W
2025-05-30	UEFA WNL B Grp. 1	Northern Ireland	4–0 W
2025-04-08	UEFA WNL B Grp. 1	Bosnia and Herzegovina	1–1 D

The team has logged three wins, one draw, and only one loss in their last five games. Their strategy in defense is evident with three clean sheets, while their 12-goal haul signals an attack in sharp form.

Poland Key Players

• Ewa Pajor: A standout forward, essential to Poland’s Nations League success with key goals.
• Natalia Padilla: Fast striker with a knack for shining in friendlies.
• Paulina Tomasiak: Known for her outstanding work rate in midfield conversions.
• Ewelina Kamczyk: A creative force in central midfield with a keen eye for finding the net.
• Kinga Szemik: Veteran keeper with three recent clean sheets.
• Paulina Dudek: A defensive backbone providing stability.
• Sylwia Matysik: A dynamic presence from box to box, excelling in defensive and offensive roles.
• Tanja Pawollek: A commanding midfield figure, crucial in both attacking and defending moves.

Poland Suspensions & Injuries

There are no reported suspensions or injuries, allowing coach Nina Patalon the luxury of a full squad to select from.

Poland Tactics and Formation

Coach Nina Patalon is likely to employ a 4-3-3 formation:

• Defense: A back four, possibly with central defenders Matysik and Dudek, alongside fullbacks Szymczak and Wiankowska.
• Midfield: Anchored by Achcińska, with Pawollek and Kamczyk providing the balance between defense and offense.
• Attack: Pajor as the leading striker, flanked by Padilla and Tomasiak on either side.

The strategic focus will be on quick transitions, leveraging width from the fullbacks to challenge Sweden’s sturdy midfield. High pressing in the opposite half could yield precious turnovers.

Sweden Team Analysis

Sweden Recent Performance

Sweden enters this encounter with consistency, backed by crucial wins:

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score
2025-07-04	Women’s EURO Group C	Denmark	1–0 W
2025-06-26	Friendlies	Norway	2–0 W
2025-06-03	UEFA WNL A Grp. 4	Denmark	6–1 W
2025-05-30	UEFA WNL A Grp. 4	Italy	0–0 D
2025-04-08	UEFA WNL A Grp. 4	Wales	1–1 D

They boast three wins and two draws in their last five matches, demonstrating potent form. Their 6-goal spree against Denmark in the Nations League stands as proof of their attacking firepower. Defensively, conceding only two goals lately highlights their disciplined approach.

Sweden Key Players

• Stina Blackstenius: Their sole striker, a reliable finisher in every sense.
• Kosovare Asllani: A veteran in central midfield, famous for creating opportunities.
• Johanna Rytting Kaneryd: An energetic box-to-box midfielder.
• Filippa Angeldal: The core of the central midfield, balancing defense and transition.
• Julia Zigiotti Olme: A versatile midfielder who excels at assisting from wide positions.
• Madelen Janogy: Her speed on the wing poses significant challenges for defenses.
• Jonna Andersson: An experienced fullback adding an offensive overlap.
• Jennifer Falk: A solid goalkeeper known for recent clean sheets.

Sweden Suspensions & Injuries

No injuries or suspensions are reported, keeping their key players ready for coach Peter Gerhardsson’s selection.

Sweden Tactics and Formation

Coach Peter Gerhardsson is expected to favor a 4-5-1 setup:

• Defense: Comprising Lundkvist, Bjoern, Sembrant, and Andersson along the back.
• Midfield: A strong arsenal with Angeldal and Olme centrally, Asllani and Janogy wide, with Kaneryd exerting box-to-box influence.
• Attack: Blackstenius as the lone forward, tasked with holding play and scoring chances.

Their plan hinges on holding control of the midfield and possession. Fullbacks are encouraged to expand play and support the attack, aiming to contain and control Poland’s rapid counter-attacks.

Poland vs Sweden Head-to-Head Statistics

Date	Competition	Score
2021-04-13	Friendlies	Poland 2–4 Sweden
2016-06-02	Women’s EURO Qualification Grp. D	Poland 0–4 Sweden
2015-09-22	Women’s EURO Qualification Grp. D	Sweden 3–0 Poland
2014-08-21	Women’s World Cup Qualification UEFA Grp. 4	Poland 0–4 Sweden
2013-09-21	Women’s World Cup Qualification UEFA Grp. 4	Sweden 2–0 Poland

Sweden’s control in past encounters is evident; they’ve won all recent meetings. Their average victory margin often exceeds three goals, underscoring their dominance in both defense and attack. However, Poland aims to defy this pattern with renewed focus and strategy.

Venue and Weather

The Allmend Stadion in Lucerne plays host to this Group C battle. With its well-kept grass surface, it promises a fast-paced, technical style of play. On July 8 at 21:00, Lucerne expects clear skies, light winds around 10 km/h, and a mild temperature roughly 18°C. No rain means a firm, responsive pitch. Gentle winds ensure stability for strategic long balls and aerial play. The moderate weather will enable both squads to perform optimally without weather-induced weariness. This sets the stage for a gripping showdown, influenced by tactical shifts and national pride on the European stage.