Fans are buzzing as Bolivia welcomes Paraguay on November 19, 2024, at 21:00 at Estadio Municipal de El Alto. In the heated race for World Cup Qualification in the CONMEBOL, this game could define their paths. Bolivia, under Oscar Villegas, hopes their high-altitude home will tip the balance against the visitors. Paraguay, led by Gustavo Alfaro, comes in after a striking win over Argentina. Bolivia’s Miguel Terceros, with three goals in qualifiers, and Antonio Sanabria, who leads Paraguay with four goals, spotlight a close battle. The standings are tight—Paraguay is sixth with 13 points, while Bolivia is eighth with 12. Both teams are dealing with squad absences; Bolivia faces injuries, and Paraguay grapples with suspensions.
Bolivia vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tip
- Prediction: Bolivia to win
- Odds: 2.4 – 2.45
- Suggested Bet: Bolivia -1.00 (Asian Handicap)
Bolivia’s strong home record, boosted by altitude, makes them the favorites. Despite lineup changes due to injuries, their home field might be their key advantage. Paraguay struggles away, with only one win in their last 13 away matches, making them vulnerable.
| Bolivia vs Paraguay Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Bolivia -1.00 (Asian Handicap) | 2.4 |
Bolivia vs Paraguay Odds
Bookmakers tilt towards Bolivia, suggesting a home win. The odds for Bolivia’s win around 2.4 reflect their reliability at home. A draw stands at about 3.0. Given both teams’ tactics, it’s likely to be under 2.5 goals. Paraguay’s odds are at 3.5—indicating their ongoing struggles with away matches and missing players.
| Bolivia vs Paraguay Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Bolivia Win | 2.4 |
| Draw | 3.0 |
| Paraguay Win | 3.5 |
Bolivia Team Analysis
Bolivia Recent Performance
Bolivia’s recent qualifiers show mixed results. They had a heavy 4-0 loss to Ecuador, but victories over Venezuela and Peru highlight their potential, especially at home. They rely on the high altitude in La Paz for a strategic edge. Their last five matches revealed defensive weaknesses, scoring seven yet conceding 11. Captain Luis Haquín’s leadership is critical as they aim to rebound against a steadfast Paraguay.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | Bolivia | 4-0 |
| Bolivia | Peru | 2-1 |
| Bolivia | Venezuela | 3-2 |
| Uruguay | Bolivia | 3-1 |
| Bolivia | Colombia | 0-1 |
Bolivia Key Players
For Bolivia, captain Luis Haquín’s experience solidifies their defense. Miguel Terceros stands out as a key attacker with three goals. Gabriel Villamil controls the midfield, aiding both in defense and attack. Yomar Rocha and Jose Sagredo are crucial in defense, while Enzo Monteiro’s speed is vital for counterattacks. With injuries, new faces like Gabriel Sotomayor and Gustavo Mendoza have been integrated, adding fresh vigor.
Bolivia Suspensions & Injuries
Bolivia is juggling injuries, necessitating tactical shifts. Key players like Daniel Camacho, Jeyson Chura, José Martínez, and Boris Céspedes are out, impacting depth. Miguel Terceros is recovering but expected to play, bringing crucial firepower. Roberto Carlos Fernández might rejoin training soon, boosting their bench. Youngsters Gabriel Sotomayor and Gustavo Mendoza are stepping up, providing energy and filling gaps. Bolivia’s medical staff is hard at work to maximize player availability for this vital game.
| Player | Status |
|---|---|
| Daniel Camacho | Out due to injury |
| Jeyson Chura | Out due to injury |
| José Martínez | Out due to injury |
| Boris Céspedes | Out due to injury |
| Miguel Terceros | Recovering from infection, likely to play |
| Roberto Fernández | Expected to rejoin training soon |
Bolivia Tactics and Formation
Bolivia’s 4-2-3-1 setup aims for quick transitions, making the most of their high-altitude advantage. They plan to stretch Paraguay’s defense using rapid wings. With injury adjustments, players like Gustavo Mendoza and Gabriel Sotomayor are key. Defense is crucial—set plays might be their strategy, especially in wet weather. Luis Haquín’s role is central to inspire and stabilize the team.
Paraguay Team Analysis
Paraguay Recent Performance
Paraguay comes in with new energy, marked by a memorable win against Argentina and a tight draw with Brazil. Unbeaten in their last four, their defense is strong and their transitions sharp. Antonio Sanabria is significant, having scored against tough defenses. Although sixth in standings, their current form suggests they could face top teams well.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | Argentina | 1-0 |
| Brazil | Paraguay | 0-0 |
| Paraguay | Chile | 2-1 |
| Uruguay | Paraguay | 0-0 |
| Bolivia | Paraguay | 1-1 |
Paraguay Key Players
Without Omar Alderete and Andrés Cubas, Paraguay relies on Antonio Sanabria, Miguel Almiron, and Gustavo Gomez. Sanabria’s goal-scoring drives their attack, while Almiron’s creativity is vital. Junior Alonso and Gustavo Velazquez are key defenders. Julio Enciso offers fresh attacking options, adding youthful excitement to Paraguay’s forward moves.
Paraguay Suspensions & Injuries
Paraguay’s lineup needs adjustments due to suspensions. Omar Alderete and Andrés Cubas are out, pressing coach Gustavo Alfaro to find new strategies. Their absence means a chance for backups to shine internationally. Tactical creativity is key to handling these gaps.
| Player | Status |
|---|---|
| Omar Alderete | Suspended |
| Andrés Cubas | Suspended |
Paraguay Tactics and Formation
Paraguay might switch between 4-4-2 or another formation suited to player availability. Their game plan blends solid defense with quick counterattacks. Offensively, they aim to exploit Bolivia’s defensive lapses, led by Antonio Sanabria. Paraguay controls the tempo in midfield, disrupting Bolivia’s central play. Devising ways to handle altitude, Paraguay prioritizes keeping possession, with flexibility under Alfaro’s guidance crucial.
Bolivia vs Paraguay Head-to-Head Statistics
The Bolivia and Paraguay rivalry sees tight contests. Their last five matches show an even split with two wins each and a draw. Paraguay’s recent 1-0 win underscores their tactical edge. However, Bolivia’s 4-0 win in 2021 showcases their altitude mastery. These matches, averaging 1.4 goals each, reflect the intense competitive spirit.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivia | Paraguay | 4-0 |
| Paraguay | Bolivia | 1-0 |
| Bolivia | Paraguay | 0-2 |
| Paraguay | Bolivia | 1-1 |
| Bolivia | Paraguay | 0-1 |
Venue and Weather
The Estadio Municipal de El Alto in La Paz, with its daunting altitude, hosts this high-stakes matchup. The cool evening is anticipated, hovering around 12°C, with light rain possibly complicating things. Ball control will be crucial on the slick pitch, demanding focus on precise passing. A gentle breeze of 5.11 m/s could affect long balls and air battles. Although the cool temperature is energy-friendly, teams must choose gear wisely for good traction. Bolivia will try to make the most of these familiar conditions, while both teams adjust for grip and control.
