Home » Matches » Champions League Matches » Paris Saint-Germain vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, November 6, 2024

Paris Saint-Germain vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, November 6, 2024

Head coach Diego 'Cholo' Simeone (Atletico de Madrid) gestures during a Copa del Rey match between UE Vic and Atletico de Madrid at Estadi Hipolit Planas in Vic, Barcelona, Spain, on October 31 2024. Photo by Felipe Mondino
© Alamy /

The much-awaited UEFA Champions League showdown between Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) and Atletico Madrid is happening at the famous Parc des Princes on November 6, 2024, at 21:00 local time. This match is key in the Group Stage Round 4. Both teams are gearing up to grab crucial points to move forward in this top competition.

PSG comes into this match as the reigning Ligue 1 champions, showcasing a strong run of form and keeping an unbeaten record in the league. Their recent clash saw them clinch a tight win against RC Lens, thanks to a goal by Ousmane Dembélé. However, not everything is smooth for PSG as they’ve faced some recent issues about fan behavior in domestic matches.

In contrast, Atletico Madrid is experiencing a rocky La Liga season with five wins, five draws, and a single loss. Their manager, Diego Simeone, hasn’t held back from voicing his frustrations about their demanding schedule and the team’s inconsistent performances, and it’s showing signs of strain within the squad.

Injuries are affecting both teams, with PSG missing crucial players like Lucas Hernandez, while Atletico might have to make do without Cesar Azpilicueta due to a thigh issue. With PSG taking advantage of their home ground and Atletico aiming to stabilize their season, we’re in for a thrilling encounter.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

  • Prediction: Both teams to score
  • Odds: PSG win (1.75), Draw (3.73), Atletico win (4.53)
  • Recommended Bet: Both teams to score at odds of 1.83
  • Important Factors: PSG’s strong home form combined with Atletico’s attacking potential suggests both teams will likely score.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Atletico Madrid Odds

The betting odds clearly mark PSG as favorites, particularly since they’re playing at Parc des Princes.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds
Bet Odds
PSG Win 1.75
Draw 3.73
Atletico Win 4.53
Over 2.5 goals 1.83
Under 2.5 goals 1.93

While the market has confidence in PSG’s home ground advantage, it also sees Atletico as a competitive side. Hence, “Both teams to score” is a popular choice among bettors, considering both teams have been good at finding the net recently.

Paris Saint-Germain Team Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain Recent Performance

PSG has been impressive and steady in their recent matches, managing three victories and two draws in their last five games.

Home Team Away Team Result
PSG RC Lens 1-0 Win
PSG Marseille 3-0 Win
PSG Toulouse 2-2 Draw
Lyon PSG 1-1 Draw
Monaco PSG 2-1 Win

These results highlight their strong defense and strategic strength, shown by the low number of goals they’ve conceded. Their latest success, a 1-0 win over Lens, shows their ability to hold their nerves under pressure, with Achraf Hakimi being a key player.

Paris Saint-Germain Key Players

The strength of PSG’s attack lies in their star-studded team:

  • Achraf Hakimi: An important right-back known for his well-timed interventions and scoring ability.
  • Ousmane Dembele: Recently important with a crucial goal, keeping opposing defenses alert.
  • Kylian Mbappé: The dynamic forward whose presence is enough to draw the defensive focus from any opponent, capable of changing the game from any field position.
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma: The reliable goalkeeper, often becoming the match savior with his impressive shot-stopping skills.

Paris Saint-Germain Suspensions & Injuries

PSG is dealing with several injuries, which could affect their lineup and tactics.

Player Injury Expected Return
Lucas Hernandez Cruciate ligament injury Early January 2025
Goncalo Ramos Ankle injury Late November 2024
Presnel Kimpembe Muscle injury Mid-November 2024

The absence of Hernandez notably affects their defense, prompting coach Luis Enrique to adjust tactics to keep their defensive robustness and flexibility.

Paris Saint-Germain Tactics and Formation

PSG is expected to set up in a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on both strong attack and defense. Luis Enrique prioritizes high pressing and swift transitions, aiming for ball possession and match pace control.

  • Defense Line-up: Marquinhos anchors the defense, with Hakimi and Mendes on the flanks.
  • Midfield Strategy: Vitinha, Ruiz, and Neves will manage the midfield, ensuring smooth transitions and possession control.
  • Attacking Lineup: The attack will likely feature Dembele, Asensio, and Barcola, using speed and creativity to find openings in Atletico’s defense.

Atletico Madrid Team Analysis

Atletico Madrid Recent Performance

Atletico enters this match with a mixed bag of results, reflecting inconsistent performances in their recent outings.

Home Team Away Team Result
Atletico Madrid UE Vic 2-1 Win
Atletico Madrid Barcelona 0-2 Loss
Real Sociedad Atletico Madrid 3-1 Win
Atletico Madrid Valencia 2-2 Draw
Atletico Madrid Girona 1-1 Draw

These games show an ongoing challenge for consistency, though there are bright spots like their Copa del Rey triumph against UE Vic, offering glimpses of their potential. Julian Alvarez has been pivotal in positively influencing Atletico’s game outcomes.

Atletico Madrid Key Players

Atletico’s team is filled with talent, highlighting:

  • Julian Alvarez: A crucial piece in their attack, frequently contributing goals and assists.
  • Antoine Griezmann: Provides versatility and creativity, essential for assists and scoring.
  • Koke: A crucial midfielder, works as a stabilizing influence orchestrating the play.
  • Jan Oblak: The cornerstone in goal, vital for securing defensive stability.
  • Rodrigo De Paul: Despite off-field rumors, remains a significant midfield contributor.

Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries

Injuries remain a concern for Atletico, potentially influencing their strategy.

Player Injury Expected Return
Cesar Azpilicueta Thigh injury Doubtful
Robin Le Normand Head injury Doubtful
Marcos Llorente Muscle injury Doubtful

The likely absence of Azpilicueta may require a tactical shift, affecting their defensive alignment and continuity.

Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation

Atletico, under Simeone, is anticipated to use a traditional 4-4-2 setup, striving for a balance between defensive awareness and quick counter-attacks. Known for adapting strategies, Simeone adjusts formations to counter opponent strengths.

  • Defensive Strategy: Center-backs are key to a solid defense, crucial against PSG’s challenging attacks.
  • Midfield Approach: The central pairing, usually involving Koke and Gallagher, focuses on intercepting and initiating attacks.
  • Forward Setup: Alvarez and Griezmann anchor the attack, using speed and positioning to exploit PSG’s defensive gaps.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics

Historically, matches between PSG and Atletico Madrid are closely matched, with their last meeting, years ago, concluding in a draw. This upcoming match marks a new chapter as both teams present evolved line-ups.

Home Away Result
PSG (Friendly, 2009) Atletico Madrid 1-1 Draw

Despite their limited recent matchups, both clubs boast strong European histories, making this a highly anticipated contest for viewers and analysts alike.

Venue and Weather

The match will be hosted at the renowned Parc des Princes, giving PSG the advantage of familiar surroundings. Often seen as advantageous for the home team, the venue is a fortress where PSG often dominates opponents.

Paris in November can present specific weather challenges. The expected temperature between 8°C to 15°C, alongside possible rainfall, demands strategic adjustments from both teams. While PSG may be more adaptable to these conditions, Atletico will face a test of adaptability in potentially damp and chilly weather. Also, wind could affect long passes and set pieces, prompting both squads to prepare for such elements.

In summary, this Champions League fixture is set for an exciting blend of strategies, talents, and weather dynamics. With significant stakes for advancing in qualification, both teams will engage in a tussle of precision and adaptability to gain control and secure the needed points in this prestigious tournament.

You might also like

Bologna vs Lille Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2024-11-27
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 27 November 2024
Celtic vs Club Brugge Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2024-11-27