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Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, November 9, 2024

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The Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund is set for November 9, 2024. The action kicks off at 15:30, at the MEWA Arena. This match-up sees Mainz 05 in 13th place and Borussia Dortmund sitting comfortably at 5th. Their positions highlight their recent forms. Mainz is grappling with challenges, juggling various competitions. In contrast, Dortmund has had both ups and downs but remain promising.

Mainz has shown some grit on the road, staying unbeaten. But, their home form is worrying, with just one point from their last four home games. This inconsistency could be their Achilles’ heel. On the other side, Dortmund shines in European games. They recently notched up a 1-0 win against Sturm Graz. However, injuries in the Dortmund camp, affecting key players like Giovanni Reyna and Niklas Süle, could be tricky as they head to Mainz.

As these teams prepare, Mainz’s shaky defense, seen in just one clean sheet this season, is under scrutiny. Dortmund must also prove their traveling grit amidst injuries. The MEWA Arena will see clear skies and mild weather, perfect conditions for this exciting showdown. Want to dive deeper? Check out Borussia Dortmund’s detailed info and Mainz 05’s team analysis.

Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tip

When sizing up this match, Borussia Dortmund has the edge. Their higher standing and strong attacking play are key. Despite injuries, their squad depth remains robust. Mainz’s poor home form also gives Dortmund an advantage.

  • Prediction: Borussia Dortmund likely to win, banking on their strong attack and depth.
  • Odds: 2.87 – 3.07
  • Suggested Bet: Borussia Dortmund -1.00 (AH)
  • Considerations: Dortmund’s league rank and competitive streak accentuate their upper hand against Mainz’s variable defense.

Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

In betting arenas, Dortmund stands as favorites, thanks to their past shows and league status. Mainz’s home struggles sway the odds visibly. Dortmund’s game plans should outpace Mainz, despite injury snags. Yet, Mainz’s unbeaten away journey and Dortmund’s squad tests keep things interesting.

Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Borussia Dortmund Win 1.95
Draw 3.45
Mainz 05 Win 4.10

For a broader league picture, visit the Bundesliga overview.

Mainz 05 Team Analysis

Mainz 05 Recent Performance

Mainz 05 comes into this match with mixed outcomes, marked by steadfast away performances. They had a 3-0 stunner at St. Pauli, but home ground performance remains a sore spot, scoring zilch in their last two home games at MEWA Arena.

Home Team Away Team Result
Mainz 05 Freiburg 0-0
Mainz 05 St. Pauli 3-0
Leipzig Mainz 05 1-1
Mainz 05 Hamburg 0-1
Bayern Mainz 05 2-1

Mainz 05 has leaned heavily on their defense, evident from two clean sheets recently. Yet, turning this into consistent home victories is crucial to moving up in the Bundesliga. The task for Bo Henriksen, their coach, is finding the key to solve home game errors and climb up the league.

Mainz 05 Key Players

Jonathan Burkardt shines as Mainz’s star, notching 5 goals in 7 games. His offensive prowess is vital in Mainz’s goal-scoring efforts. Robin Zentner in goal is another cornerstone, providing essential defensive support.

Gabriel Vidovic, a valuable loan find, is expected to add punch to their attacking line-up. Meanwhile, Jae-Sung Lee is critical in midfield, connecting defense and attack. Players like Anthony Caci fortify defenses even amidst injuries. Aymen Barkok and Philipp Mwene add versatility in midfield.

Further details about players are available at Mainz 05’s squad details.

Mainz 05 Suspensions & Injuries

Mainz’s injuries add complexity to their game plans. Notably:

  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Ankle, back in late November 2024)
  • Moritz Jenz (Muscle, late November 2024 return)

Such injuries demand strategic adaptability. It underscores the need for Mainz to deepen their squad resilience and maintain a strong defense even amid these challenges. This emphasizes the importance of strategy and adaptability for Mainz in finding ways to keep their defense solid.

Mainz 05 Tactics and Formation

Mainz expects to employ a 4-2-3-1 setup, balancing attack and defense. Their key tactics involve:

  • A strong defensive line, adapting for absent players.
  • Quick counter-attacks to capitalize on space.
  • Jonathan Burkardt leads the charge, maximizing his goal abilities.
  • Set-pieces play a crucial role due to difficulties in open-play scoring.

Aymen Barkok and Lee are pivotal in moving from defense to attack, responsible for setting up chances and driving transitions.

Borussia Dortmund Team Analysis

Borussia Dortmund Recent Performance

Borussia Dortmund’s recent matches show a vibrant European presence but domestic struggles. Their 1-0 Europa League win over Sturm Graz demonstrates their resolve in Europe.

Home Team Away Team Result
Borussia Dortmund Stuttgart 3-2
Dortmund Sturm Graz 1-0
Bayern Dortmund 1-3
RB Leipzig Dortmund 2-2
Borussia Dortmund Union Berlin 0-1

In their last five matches, Dortmund scored six goals, highlighting their attacking mindset. Yet, conceding nine goals points to needed defensive tweaks. Their wins show tactical skill, but maintaining this requires working on defense.

Borussia Dortmund Key Players

Serhou Guirassy leads the score sheet, crucial in Dortmund’s fronts. Alexander Meyer, in goal with Kobel injured, bears defensive weight.

Players like Donyell Malen and Julian Brandt add flair in attack, enabling strategic diversity. Nico Schlotterbeck is central in defense, managing Mainz’s assault threats.

To explore their squad dynamics, visit the Dortmund team analysis.

Borussia Dortmund Suspensions & Injuries

Injuries affect Dortmund’s squad depth and tactics:

  • Giovanni Reyna (Groin, mid-November return)
  • Karim Adeyemi (Hamstring, expected late November 2024)
  • Julien Duranville (Thigh, late November 2024)
  • Niklas Süle (Ankle, early December comeback)
  • Gregor Kobel (Hip, late November return)
  • Ramy Bensebaini (suspended)

These scenarios require tactical shifts and squad flexibility. Dortmund’s medical team is focused on recovery for strategic reintegration. Such steps ensure they adapt and maintain competitive performance against Mainz 05.

Borussia Dortmund Tactics and Formation

Dortmund is likely to use a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing their attack while securing the backline.

  • Quick transitions and exploiting Mainz’s weaknesses are key strategies.
  • Wide play to stretch Mainz’s defense using wingers.
  • Tactical setups focus on controlling the midfield and creating forward momentum.
  • Defensive compactness aims to counter Mainz’s strategies.

Their formation may shift, adapting as the match unfolds, seeking to exploit set-pieces and capitalize on Mainz’s defense lapses.

Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at past matches between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund reveals a competitive story, highlighted by Mainz’s surprise 3-0 win last season.

Home Away Result
Mainz Dortmund 3-0
Dortmund Mainz 0-1
Mainz Dortmund 1-1
Dortmund Mainz 1-2
Mainz Dortmund 0-1

The last five meetings paint a balanced picture, with Mainz securing one win, two draws, and Dortmund two wins. This data sets up an unpredictable game, showcasing Mainz’s capacity to give Dortmund a tough fight.

Venue and Weather

The MEWA Arena, with a fiery fan base and a 33,305 capacity, sets the stage for this league clash. Expected clear weather ensures a perfect match setting, with 12.13°C temperatures. Minimal wind (1.68 m/s) enhances accurate play, promising a thrilling display of skills and tactics.

While Mainz benefits from familiar conditions, Dortmund’s experience balances the likelihood. Both teams are positioned to take full advantage of these ideal playing conditions, heavily influencing match tempo and action quality.

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