Matches > Bundesliga Matches > Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2026-03-14 15:30:00

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction, Match Preview & Betting Tips, 2026-03-14 15:30:00

04 February 2025, North Rhine-Westphalia, Dortmund: Soccer, Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund, Press conference, Signal Iduna Park media center: Niko Kovac is introduced as Borussia Dortmund's new coach at a press conference. Photo: Bernd Thissen/dpa
© Alamy / dpa, dpa picture alliance

Get ready for an exciting Bundesliga match as Borussia Dortmund take on FC Augsburg at Signal Iduna Park. This legendary stadium, with 81,365 seats, is set to buzz with energy as eager fans support their teams. Dortmund hold the 2nd spot on the Bundesliga table with 55 points, just behind Bayern Munich. Meanwhile, Augsburg sit comfortably in the 9th position with 31 points, clear of the relegation zone.

Serhou Guirassy leads Dortmund’s attack with 12 goals, making him a player to watch. Augsburg’s top scorer, Alexis Claude-Maurice, has netted 4 goals. Dortmund’s coach, Niko Kovac, is focused on fixing recent defensive slip-ups. Augsburg’s coach, Manuel Baum, boasts three wins in their last five Bundesliga games, and his team is hungry for more. Over the last five matches, Dortmund have both scored and conceded 9 and 10 goals respectively, which shows their attacking and defensive struggles. Augsburg have scored 7 goals and conceded 6 during the same period. These head-to-head matchups often result in surprises, with plenty of goals.

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tip

Recommended Bet Odds
Augsburg to win 7.75 – 8.5

Augsburg winning at Dortmund may be a shocker, but it’s not impossible. Given Dortmund’s visible defensive gaps, Augsburg could upset the home side. With Augsburg’s form boasting three wins in five games, they exhibit a strong defensive setup. Earlier this season, Augsburg defeated Dortmund 1-0 in another surprising match in Munich. Current odds of 7.75 to 8.5 highlight Augsburg as the dark horse. Injuries on both sides might influence midfield battles and defense strategies. Given the recent unexpected outcomes in their encounters, this fixture might just deliver another surprise.

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Odds

Market Odds
1X2 – Dortmund No data
1X2 – Draw No data
1X2 – Augsburg 7.75 – 8.5
Over 2.5 Goals No data
Under 2.5 Goals No data

The odds for an Augsburg victory, ranging from 7.75 to 8.5, offer a tempting bet. Dortmund typically hit 2.2 goals per home game, flaunting their attacking capabilities. Augsburg, however, concedes just 1.2 goals in away games, signifying a robust defensive trait on the road. Recent performances from both (Dortmund: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; Augsburg: 3 wins, 2 losses) suggest a close contest. Their matchups have averaged 3.2 goals over the last five games, promising a potentially thrilling showdown. Despite lacking full odds data, the focus rests on Augsburg’s potential surprise given their underdog status.

Home Team Analysis: Borussia Dortmund

Recent Performance

Opponent Score Competition
FC Koln 1 – 2 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich 2 – 3 Bundesliga
Atalanta 4 – 1 Champions League Final Stage
RB Leipzig 2 – 2 Bundesliga
Atalanta 2 – 0 Champions League Final Stage

Dortmund have had mixed results lately, securing 2 wins, 1 draw, and enduring 2 losses in their last five matches. Their 9 goals against tough competition reflect their attacking prowess, notably in their strong European outings against Atalanta. Yet, Dortmund’s defensive issues are apparent, exacerbated by conceding 10 goals. Their recent Bundesliga defeat to rivals Bayern Munich brings defensive concerns to the forefront. Key players like Guirassy, who has 12 league goals, remain crucial. Julian Brandt contributes significantly with 8 goals and assists, orchestrating plays from midfield. Marcel Sabitzer drives the midfield further, with Felix Nmecha providing defensive support. Goalkeeper Gregor Kobel needs to be on point, especially with Augsburg’s fast-paced counterattacks. The defensive side relies on Nico Schlotterbeck’s leadership and aerial prowess.

Key Players

Guirassy is vital in attack, boasting 12 goals in the season. Brandt provides creativity with 8 total goal contributions, adding a spark from midfield. Sabitzer’s energy bolsters their game plan, aided by Nmecha’s cover. Keeper Kobel’s reflexes are critical against Augsburg’s counters. Schlotterbeck organizes the defense, excelling in aerial duels, while Maximilian Beier and Daniel Svensson provide fresh options off the bench. Defensive cornerstone Waldemar Anton is potent in set-pieces, pivotal against nimble opponents. With a packed schedule, Kovac might consider lineup rotations for optimal performance.

Suspensions & Injuries

Player Issue Return
Emre Can Cruciate ligament injury Out for season
Carney Chukwuemeka Muscle injury 1–2 weeks
Filippo Mané Thigh injury Mid-March 2026
Ramy Bensebaini Suspension (yellow cards) 1 match ban

Emre Can’s absence with a season-long cruciate injury robs Dortmund of vital experience. Chukwuemeka’s muscle issue sidelines him temporarily, aiming for a mid-March return. Mané’s thigh injury might affect his participation. Bensebaini’s suspension adds another challenge with defensive options narrowing. Kovac’s dilemma lies in balancing squad depth while ensuring competitiveness across various competitions.

Tactics and Formation

Dortmund may adopt a 3-4-2-1 or 3-6-1 formation, using three central defenders. Wing-backs like Brandt and Ryerson will push up and provide width. The midfield could revolve around Sabitzer and Nmecha, facilitating creativity and defense. Guirassy will lead the charge upfront, flanked by inverted wingers supporting midfield. Expect high pressing to dominate, trying to push Augsburg into making mistakes. However, wide transitions pressurize Dortmund when wing-backs push forward, exposing defensive frailties. Set-piece efficiency is a priority with their aerial dominance.

Away Team Analysis: Augsburg

Recent Performance

Opponent Score Competition
RB Leipzig 2 – 1 Bundesliga
FC Koln 2 – 0 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg 2 – 3 Bundesliga
FC Heidenheim 1 – 0 Bundesliga
Mainz 05 2 – 0 Bundesliga

Augsburg’s recent form includes three wins in their last five games. They’ve scored 7 goals, conceding only 6, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense. Victory over RB Leipzig underscores their successful counter-attacking style, despite a recent stumble in Leipzig. Augsburg’s rising confidence is bolstered by back-to-back clean sheets at home. Baum’s strategies involve strong structures and quick transitions, strengthening their edge, especially on the road.

Key Players

Alexis Claude-Maurice is vital upfront with 4 goals boosted by sharp positioning. Goalkeeper Finn Dahmen backs the defense, contributing to Augsburg’s stability. Keven Schlotterbeck is a key figure in ensuring defensive solidity. Robin Fellhauer’s pace makes him a flank asset, providing width and attack support. Kristijan Jakic disrupts opponent’s play, ensuring midfield fluidity. Han-Noah Massengo excels in forward drives. Rodrigo Ribeiro adds an aerial threat, holding the ball upfield. Fabian Rieder capitalizes on set-pieces, exploiting defensive lapses. Mert Komur adds versatility in midfield.

Suspensions & Injuries

Player Issue Return
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Medial collateral ligament injury Mid-April 2026
Chrislain Matsima Hamstring injury Early April 2026
Yannik Keitel Knee injury Late March 2026
Uchenna Ogundu Ankle injury Late March 2026

Injury challenges include the absences of defensive leaders Gouweleeuw and Matsima, with expected returns in April. Keitel’s knee problem and Ogundu’s ankle issue hinder their March comeback. Baum faces adjustment challenges given these defensive gaps, crucial for the team’s core stability and dynamics.

Tactics and Formation

Augsburg are likely to play with a 4-1-4-1 setup, centralizing Ribeiro. Rieder and Massengo operate wide, tasked with both defensive and attacking roles. Jakic provides a defensive shield, connecting defense and attack. Full-backs Banks and Giannoulis go forward to support crosses. Augsburg relies on a robust defense to thwart Dortmund’s threats, countering effectively with quick wings, notably through Claude-Maurice and Fellhauer. A shift to a 5-3-2 formation allows additional defensive reinforcement as necessary.

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Head-to-Head Statistics

Date Home Score Away Competition
2025-10-31 Augsburg 0 – 1 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
2025-03-08 Borussia Dortmund 0 – 1 Augsburg Bundesliga
2024-10-26 Augsburg 2 – 1 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
2024-05-04 Borussia Dortmund 5 – 1 Augsburg Bundesliga
2023-12-16 Augsburg 1 – 1 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

Past matches showcase two Augsburg wins in tightly contested games. Dortmund earlier scored big with a 5-1 win, yet other games often feature narrow finishes, usually by one goal. Augsburg’s surprising 1-0 win at Dortmund last season layers complexity onto their rivalry. Dortmund’s lone autumn 2025 victory highlights the unpredictable nature of these duels.

Venue and Weather

The match unfolds at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany, known for its storied environment. The massive crowd, fueled by the famed Yellow Wall, creates an intense setting. March typically brings temperatures between 5°C and 12°C, with light rain and moderate breezes predicted.

Cooler temperatures support long-lasting match dynamics, aiding player endurance over 90 minutes. Potential rain may make the pitch slick, impacting ball control and defensive decisions. Wind could challenge long balls and set-pieces, demanding precise tactics and short passing. Team adaptability to such conditions might prove decisive, where readiness has a competitive edge.

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