As the Bundesliga nears its end, we’ve got a thrilling match ahead. Bayer Leverkusen, snug in 2nd place with 68 points, take on Borussia Dortmund, who are 5th with 51 points. Mark your calendars for May 11, 2025, at 15:30 local time for what promises to be a fascinating affair.
Leverkusen has picked up 9 points from their last five league games. They’ve had some wins, draws, and a lone loss. Patrik Schick stands out for them, having scored 19 goals this season. On the other side, Dortmund’s been on a roll, grabbing 13 points in their last five games and netting 15 goals. Serhou Guirassy, their key striker, also boasts 19 goals, setting the stage for a battle between two top forwards.
Looking at the head-to-head stats, it seems we could be in for an exciting match. Recent encounters between these teams tend to have more than 2.5 goals, often ending with tight scores or draws. At the BayArena, where mild weather is forecasted, Leverkusen’s Xabi Alonso should have almost his entire squad available. Meanwhile, Niko Kovač of Dortmund will have to work around some defensive injuries. Betting odds point to a goal-rich game, with over 3.5 goals being an appealing choice at odds of 2.32–2.40. The day’s pleasant weather should motivate both teams to play plenty of attacking football.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tip
Both teams are in scoring form, which makes betting on a high-scoring match a smart move. In their last five matchups, they’ve netted a total of 16 goals, which gives us an average of 3.2 goals per game. Even though both squads are dealing with defensive injuries, their strong attack hints at an explosive game.
Given the nice weather that’s perfect for attacking play, we recommend betting on at least four goals in this game.
| Recommended Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.32 – 2.40 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
Bettors expect goals galore in this match, thanks to strong offenses and somewhat shaky defenses. Even though Leverkusen holds the runner-up spot, Dortmund’s recent good form and impressive attack could give them a boost in the betting markets. The head-to-head history shows a pattern of closely matched games: one win each and three draws mixed in.
Leverkusen’s strong defensive record at home—allowing just 0.6 goals per game—contrasts with Dortmund’s 1.4 average goals allowed on the road. This sets up a thrilling, high-scoring match where over 3.5 goals stand as the top market pick, priced between 2.32 to 2.40.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.32 – 2.40 |
Home team Team Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen Recent Performance
Leverkusen’s pursuit of a Champions League spot is on track, with Xabi Alonso leading the way. They’re 2nd in the league with 68 points from 32 games. Their recent results reflect a blend of resilience and opportunism: they’ve drawn twice, won twice, and have one loss.
They’ve shown solid defense, letting in just three goals while scoring six. Patrik Schick remains the main threat up front, consistently scoring crucial goals.
| Date | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | Freiburg | 2 – 2 (A) |
| 2025-04-26 | Augsburg | 2 – 0 (H) |
| 2025-04-20 | St. Pauli | 1 – 1 (A) |
| 2025-04-12 | Union Berlin | 0 – 0 (H) |
| 2025-04-05 | FC Heidenheim | 1 – 0 (A) |
Bayer Leverkusen Key Players
Patrik Schick is a constant threat for Leverkusen, with 19 goals to his name. Florian Wirtz adds creativity in midfield, contributing six goals recently. Granit Xhaka sets the midfield pace, supported by Jeremie Frimpong’s versatility and Piero Hincapie’s defensive skills.
Emiliano Buendia brings midfield flair, while Jonathan Tah is a rock in defense, ensuring a blend of creativity and solidity.
Bayer Leverkusen Suspensions & Injuries
Leverkusen faces some injury challenges affecting their squad depth. Jeanuel Belocian is out until mid-September 2025 with a cruciate ligament injury. Key players Martin Terrier and Mario Hermoso are out for the season, and Nordi Mukiele hopes to return from a calf injury by mid-May 2025. Alejo Sarco’s hamstring may keep him out until late May 2025, and there are unknowns about Victor Okoh Boniface.
These injuries force Xabi Alonso to rotate his squad wisely to maintain performance levels.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Jeanuel Belocian | Cruciate ligament | Mid September 2025 |
| Martin Terrier | Achilles tendon | Out for season |
| Mario Hermoso | Tendon | Out for season |
| Nordi Mukiele | Calf | Mid May 2025 |
| Alejo Sarco | Hamstring | Late May 2025 |
Bayer Leverkusen Tactics and Formation
Xabi Alonso usually sets up his team in a dynamic 3-6-1 formation, aiming to strengthen defense while keeping attack fluid. Ezequiel Tapsoba, Jonathan Tah, and Piero Hincapie make up the solid back three. Jeremie Frimpong and Alex Grimaldo are the proactive wing-backs, supporting both defense and attack.
In midfield, the influential Granit Xhaka and Lucas García manage possession, with Florian Wirtz playing a creative role further up. Patrik Schick leads the attack, disrupting defenses and linking up play.
Away team Team Analysis
Borussia Dortmund Recent Performance
Borussia Dortmund is firmly in 5th place, maintaining consistency. They’ve won four of their last five games and drawn once, scoring 15 goals while letting in seven. Their aggressive style pays off handsomely.
They’ve also done well in Europe, beating Barcelona in the Champions League, underlining their threat on various fronts.
| Date | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Wolfsburg | 4 – 0 (H) |
| 2025-04-26 | Hoffenheim | 3 – 2 (A) |
| 2025-04-20 | M’gladbach | 3 – 2 (H) |
| 2025-04-15 | Barcelona (UCL) | 3 – 1 (H) |
| 2025-04-12 | Bayern Munich | 2 – 2 (A) |
Borussia Dortmund Key Players
Serhou Guirassy is essential for Dortmund’s attack, contributing 19 goals. Julian Brandt orchestrates plays from the wing. Gregor Kobel ensures reliability in goal.
Felix Nmecha stands out in midfield, with energetic runs bridging both ends. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens brings pace and skill, while Ramy Bensebaini provides defensive support and aerial strength. Pascal Groß controls midfield rhythm and transitions.
Borussia Dortmund Suspensions & Injuries
Injuries in defense weaken Dortmund’s squad depth. Cole Campbell might miss a few days with a knock, but Nico Schlotterbeck’s meniscus issue keeps him out until early October 2025. Maximilian Beier has an ankle injury and could return in late May 2025.
Coach Kovač will have to make tactical changes and rotate players to deal with these absences.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Campbell | Knock injury | Few days |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | Meniscus injury | Early October 2025 |
| Maximilian Beier | Ankle injury | Late May 2025 |
Borussia Dortmund Tactics and Formation
Kovač often employs a flexible 3-6-1 shape for Dortmund, similar to Leverkusen’s setup. Süle, Rene Anton, and the adaptable Bensebaini form the back three. Wing-backs Brandt and Ryerson secure the flanks. Felix Nmecha and Svensson manage midfield defense.
Pascal Groß and Bynoe-Gittens have creative freedom to supply Guirassy with opportunities. Dortmund’s approach relies on high intensity, forcing errors to exploit with quick turnovers and wide play.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Statistics
The rivalry between these teams is fierce and unpredictable. In the last five meetings, each has taken one win, with three matches drawn.
Their most recent league match in January 2025 saw Leverkusen win 3-2. Generally, these matchups are filled with goals, averaging 2.4 goals per meeting.
Home advantage hasn’t always been decisive, with only one of these five encounters favoring the home side. Both teams are eager to dominate and change the narrative in their favor this time.
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-10 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2 – 3 |
| 2024-04-21 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1 – 1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 1 – 1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 0 – 2 |
| 2022-08-06 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1 – 0 |
Venue and Weather
The BayArena, which holds 30,210 spectators, is the stage for this exciting Bundesliga match. Known for its echoing architecture, it gives the home team a distinct advantage.
The weather on matchday looks positive, with temperatures at a mild 22.6°C, occasional clouds, and light winds of 4.9 m/s. Such perfect dry conditions should allow the match to flow unimpeded.
With the favorable weather, expect an evenly-fought match as both teams aim to show off their attacking talents, making for a thrilling contest for fans and players alike.
