In the Brazilian Serie B, Cuiabá takes on Paysandu at the impressive Arena Pantanal. This match is set for Round 11, with Cuiabá currently sitting comfortably in 4th place with 18 points. Their spirits are high following a two-match winning streak. On the other side, Paysandu struggles, anchored at the bottom with just 4 points. Cuiabá’s recent victories over Athletic Club (2-0) and Vila Nova (1-0) highlight their solid form. Meanwhile, Paysandu hasn’t tasted victory in their last five games, suffering three defeats alongside two draws. Matheusinho, leading Cuiabá’s charge with three goals, is expected to break down Paysandu’s shaky defense. In sharp contrast, Leandro Vilela—their lone goal scorer—illustrates Paysandu’s offensive woes.
Home team vs Away team Prediction & Betting tip
Given Cuiabá’s recent form and the advantage of playing at home, they’re the clear favorites against struggling Paysandu. Two back-to-back victories have secured their spot in the top four. Under Guto Ferreira’s guidance, Cuiabá is likely to maintain their momentum. Matheusinho is expected to take full advantage of the defensive gaps in Paysandu’s line, which conceded seven goals in their last five games. With dominance in possession and high-pressure tactics, Cuiabá is set to take control.
| Recommended Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cuiabá to win | 1.75 – 1.85 |
Home team vs Away team Odds
The odds for a Cuiabá win, ranging from 1.75 to 1.85, display a strong sense of confidence in their ability to clinch victory. Although exact odds for a draw or a Paysandu win aren’t provided, it’s clear the market favors Cuiabá. This match has an expected goal count of around 2.5 goals, suggesting lucrative opportunities in total goals markets for bettors seeking excitement.
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cuiabá to win | 1.75 – 1.85 |
Home team Team Analysis
Home team Recent Performance
Cuiabá has been impressive, securing two wins, experiencing two losses, and drawing one match.
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 | Athletic Club vs Cuiabá | 0 – 2 |
| 2025-05-27 | Cuiabá vs Vila Nova | 1 – 0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Chapecoense AF vs Cuiabá | 2 – 1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Cuiabá vs Operario Ferroviario | 2 – 3 |
| 2025-05-06 | CRB vs Cuiabá | 1 – 1 |
In total, Cuiabá scored seven goals and conceded six, showcasing a sturdy defense with two clean sheets. They boast a strong home winning rate of 60%, suggesting they’re ready to use their home ground advantage.
Home team Key Players
Matheusinho stands out in Cuiabá’s attacking lineup with three goals. His quick transitions are crucial. Edu supports him, holding play and creating chances. In defense, Mateus Pasinato is a skilled goalkeeper, crucial to clean sheets. His support comes from Alan Empereur, renowned for his aerial skills, while Guilherme Mariano builds play from the back. In midfield, Patrick is essential, breaking opposition attacks, with Denilson known for his excellent passing, bridging midfield and attack seamlessly.
Home team Suspensions & Injuries
Cuiabá is in luck with no injuries or suspensions. Guto Ferreira can field his best squad for this important home game.
Home team Tactics and Formation
Under Guto Ferreira’s guidance, Cuiabá prefers a 4-5-1 formation. This involves wide midfielders like Max Alves and Derik Lacerda to stretch the play. The defense, led by Matheusinho and Alan Empereur, provides strength. Patrick, Denilson, and Juan Christian control the midfield, determining game pace. Edu leads the attack, focusing on maintaining possession. Cuiabá relies on rapid transitions, using Matheusinho’s sharp runs and a high press to disrupt the opponent’s game plan.
Away team Team Analysis
Away team Recent Performance
Paysandu’s journey hasn’t been smooth, failing to secure wins in their last five matches.
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-03 | Paysandu vs Criciúma | 0 – 1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Novorizontino vs Paysandu | 3 – 1 |
| 2025-05-21 | Bahia vs Paysandu (Cup) | 4 – 0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Paysandu vs Goiás | 0 – 0 |
| 2025-05-14 | América MG vs Paysandu | 2 – 2 |
In these games, Paysandu has only managed three goals, while letting in seven, achieving just one clean sheet against Goiás. Their struggle away reflects in their 0% away win rate, marking tough outings for Luizinho Lopes’ side.
Away team Key Players
Despite lacking goals, Leandro Vilela is a key figure in Paysandu’s attack. Matheus Nogueira holds the fort in goal. Rossi, even without goals, remains their main forward figure, working alongside Jorge Benítez, known for his heading ability. Benjamin Borasi adds flexibility up front. Yeferson Quintana leads the defense, while Andre Lima connects their midfield and attack.
Away team Suspensions & Injuries
Paysandu has no suspensions or injury problems, allowing coach Luizinho Lopes full squad access. However, the team faces the daunting task of facing a polished Cuiabá side.
Away team Tactics and Formation
Paysandu, with a 4-3-3 setup, prioritizes defense. Yeferson Quintana and Bryan lead their backline. Fullbacks Mauricio Antonio and Reverson are vital for counter-attacks. Midfielders Andre Lima, Matheus, and Ramon Martinez balance both sides of play. Their forward line of Rossi, Jorge Benítez, and Benjamin Borasi seeks to exploit direct opportunities. Paysandu tries to capitalize on their compact defense during transitions.
Home team vs Away team Head-to-Head Statistics
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-09-20 | Paysandu vs Cuiabá | 1 – 2 |
| 2014-07-20 | Cuiabá vs Paysandu | 3 – 2 |
| 2012-10-14 | Cuiabá vs Paysandu | 1 – 1 |
| 2012-08-11 | Paysandu vs Cuiabá | 2 – 1 |
Cuiabá has a slight edge in head-to-head battles against Paysandu. In four encounters, they have two wins and a draw. Paysandu has one win. Cuiabá has scored six goals to Paysandu’s five, underscoring their attacking power. The average of about 2.75 goals per game hints at the competitive nature of their matches. The 2014 bouts both saw Cuiabá emerge victorious, reinforcing their positive head-to-head record before this match.
Venue and Weather
Set in the iconic Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá is ready for a thrilling clash. Built for the 2014 FIFA World Cup, it offers an exhilarating environment for players and fans. The match will proceed in warm conditions with slight cloud cover and temperatures around 33.68°C. While a light breeze of 3.32 m/s brings little relief, the heat might affect stamina. Hydration and pacing strategies will be key during the game to combat the challenging weather.
Cuiabá is familiar with such conditions, which could allow them to execute dynamic offensive strategies. The climate may slow the game down, favoring extended possession phases and methodical plays. Coaches might tactically use substitutions to inject fresh energy amid the taxing heat.
